Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Michigan State Spartans		Ohio State Buckeyes

	1	X	2
	1.39	5.1	5.35
	1.48	4.93	5.22
	1.4	4.6	5.5
	1.4	5.05	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)	4.92 ↑ (4.6)	5.37 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michigan State Spartans
64.4%

Draw
18.6%

Ohio State Buckeyes
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

19.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

21.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michigan State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ohio State Buckeyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michigan State Spartans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ohio State Buckeyes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ohio State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Michigan State is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Michigan State will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 60:50. (average 3.3:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Michigan State won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 3.4:2.8).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Michigan State Spartans: 7.24% Ohio State Buckeyes: 0.92%

Last Results with these Odds

Michigan State Spartans - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 64.25%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michigan State Spartans hockey
NCAA Hockey
06.03.26	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans	4:3 penalties ✺
05.03.26	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans	1:7 ✺
28.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes	4:3 penalties ✺
27.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes	1:5 ✺
20.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLW
- Ohio State Buckeyes hockey
NCAA Hockey
11.03.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Ohio State Buckeyes	1:7 ✺
06.03.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3:4 OT ✺
05.03.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4:5 OT ✺
28.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes	4:3 penalties ✺
27.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
28.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes	4:3 penalties
27.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes	1:5
10.01.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Michigan State Spartans	2:1
09.01.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Michigan State Spartans	2:6
22.03.25	Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes	4:3 OT
31.01.25	Ohio State Buckeyes - Michigan State Spartans	1:4
30.01.25	Ohio State Buckeyes - Michigan State Spartans	4:2

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