Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday


	Mogilev		Neman Grodno

	1	X	2
	4.01	4.26	1.63
	4.1	4.3	1.61	Watch
	4	4.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (4.03)	4.27 ↑ (4.26)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mogilev
22.4%

Draw
21.2%

Neman Grodno
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

21.1%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

21.5%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mogilev than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Mogilev - Neman Grodno Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
31. Kropova D. (G)	74. Kozlovsky K. (G)
16. Prokhorenko M.	32. Lisovets Y.
55. Mozhaev S.	86. Savritsky D.
8. Sergushkin D.	28. Kisly A.
37. Shapiro I.	96. Poddubnyi G.
44. Yermolenko A.	17. Titov N.
Line 2
9. Shaborshin G.	15. Mazhuga Y.
85. Tatarenko K.	92. Zheldakov G.
47. Levsha A.	10. Andryushchenko V.
73. Kozinov A.	19. Smirnov K.
19. Byakin M.	99. Jelisejevs N.
Line 3
39. Shurygin A.	45. Letov I.
24. Arbuzov Y.	61. Uss I.
23. Ovechkin D.	12. Azhgirei P.
78. Nikulin K.	91. Bastrykin N.
12. Popkov A.	44. Gretsky V.
Line 4
34. Rogovtsov V.	95. Sevko Y.
17. Yeliseyenko A.	23. Antonovich V.
49. Malyuchenko A.	97. Zhilyuk K.
42. Matlakhov A.	33. Kul D.
Substitutes
32. Semyonov Y.	69. Karnaukhov M. (G)
52. Zinovenko R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
10:21, 0 - 1, Andryushchenko V. (G), Antonovich V. (A),
19:55, 0 - 2, Mazhuga Y. (G), Zheldakov G. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:42, 0 - 3, Smirnov K. (G), Andryushchenko V. (A), Jelisejevs N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:34, 0 - 4, Gretsky V. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mogilev won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Neman is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mogilev won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 48:86. (average 2.4:4.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mogilev won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:39. (average 2.8:3.9).

Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now

Neman Grodno: 7.95% Mogilev: 1.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Neman Grodno	11	2	2	1	6	22:28	9
11	Mogilev	11	4	0	0	7	27:40	8

Last Results with these Odds

Mogilev - the odds 4.03 are the expected chance of winning is 22.32%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Mogilev
Belarusian Extraleague
27.01.26	Mogilev - Neman Grodno	5:2 ✺
24.01.26	Mogilev - Gomel	2:1 penalties ✺
22.01.26	Mogilev - Gomel	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Vitebsk - Mogilev	6:2 ✺
16.01.26	Vitebsk - Mogilev	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLLL
- HK Neman Grodno
Belarusian Extraleague
27.01.26	Mogilev - Neman Grodno	5:2 ✺
24.01.26	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Neman Grodno	4:1 ✺
22.01.26	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Neman Grodno	5:2 ✺
17.01.26	Neman Grodno - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	4:0 ✺
15.01.26	Neman Grodno - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
27.01.26	Mogilev - Neman Grodno	5:2
25.10.25	Neman Grodno - Mogilev	4:2
23.10.25	Neman Grodno - Mogilev	3:2
31.01.25	Neman Grodno - Mogilev	6:4
29.01.25	Neman Grodno - Mogilev	4:3
27.10.24	Mogilev - Neman Grodno	4:3
25.10.24	Mogilev - Neman Grodno	3:5

Upcoming Matches