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Current Win Probability
Moncton Wildcats 50.7%
Draw 22%
Halifax Mooseheads 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
18.5%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.4%
19.4%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moncton Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moncton Wildcats's form might have worsened.
Halifax Mooseheads has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Halifax Mooseheads's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncton Wildcats than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncton Wildcats, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halifax Mooseheads than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Halifax Mooseheads, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Moncton Wildcats - Halifax Mooseheads Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Rybkin Y. (G)
35. Mertz C. (G)
6. Baird-Gajdos C.
79. Anderson D.
7. Batchilder J.
15. Cameron J.
14. Benigno C.
55. Carrier S. (A)
17. Blace W.
51. Doyle E.
33. Boguniecki J.
93. Gualberto P.
3. Brosnan M.
88. Kennedy Q. (A)
72. Bursaw L.
10. Kulebyakin O.
22. Chudzinski R. (A)
71. Langlois N.
24. Fortier-Gendron A. (A)
77. L'Italien M.
19. Gould S.
28. MacLeod C.
9. Kilfoil L.
17. McNab P.
12. Laitinen J.
23. Minella C.
10. Manchuso W.
92. Napon J.
27. Mullen E.
16. Nobert M.
13. Survilas N.
26. Phillips O. (C)
26. Thornborough S.
11. Sintschnig P.
86. Tournas N. (A)
81. Uschan N.
23. Vilen M.
20. Walters D. (A)
Substitutes
35. Weiner J. (G)
30. Fichthorn J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
08:16, 0 - 1, Langlois N. (G), Sintschnig P. (A), L'Italien M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
14:59, 1 - 1, Tournas N. (G), Mullen E. (A), Gould S. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
06:17, 1 - 2, Kulebyakin O. (G),
09:53, 2 - 2, Bursaw L. (G), Laitinen J. (A), Boguniecki J. (A2)
11:08, 3 - 2, Tournas N. (G),
19:57, 3 - 3, Phillips O. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:16, 4 - 3, Kilfoil L. (G), Fortier-Gendron A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moncton won 5.
Moncton is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Halifax has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Moncton has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Moncton is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Moncton has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 82:50 (averaging 4.1:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Moncton against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 36:27 goals (averaging 3.6:2.7 per game).