Match Info

QMJHL

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Avenir Centre (Moncton, NB)


	Moncton Wildcats		Victoriaville Tigres

	1	X	2
	1.23	7.06	7
	1.29	6.37	6.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.49)	6.72 ↑ (5.35)	6.69 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncton Wildcats
72.7%

Draw
13.6%

Victoriaville Tigres
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

17.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

17.4%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncton Wildcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moncton Wildcats's performance.

Victoriaville Tigres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Victoriaville Tigres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncton Wildcats than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncton Wildcats that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoriaville Tigres than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Victoriaville Tigres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Guimond R. (G)	31. Catanzariti A. (G)
7. Batchilder J.	15. Belleau J.
12. Binkley S.	5. Bourdeau A.
16. Bleyl T.	19. Bourque A. (A)
36. Buckley D.	73. Brunet S. (C)
22. Chudzinski R.	37. Delisle A.
21. Diamond A.	93. Dodier M.
24. Fortier-Gendron A.	3. Flynn B.
20. Lounsbury P. (A)	39. Gariepy L.
10. Mercier A. (A)	90. Korneyev K.
17. Morrissette-Richer V.	25. Labre M. (A)
14. Mutryn T.	22. Lemaire D.
71. Robertson-Palmer G.	44. Lepage M.
23. Sampson R.	34. Lottin E.
9. Smith G. (A)	72. Paquet C.
26. Thornborough S.	7. Paquet T. (A)
86. Tournas N.	95. Sabourin X.
15. Virgilio M.	88. Savoie Z.
27. Voronin K.	9. Shilov Y.
38. Wallenius E.	17. Vlasov A.
Substitutes
35. Weiner J. (G)	20. D'Aigle G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
12:53, 0 - 1, Bourque A. (G), Paquet T. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:13, 0 - 2, Vlasov A. (G), Shilov Y. (A), Bourque A. (A2)
02:58, 1 - 2, Tournas N. (G), Batchilder J. (A), Voronin K. (A2)
10:51, 2 - 2, Tournas N. (G),
18:28, 2 - 3, Paquet T. (G), Lottin E. (A), Brunet S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
08:32, 3 - 3, Binkley S. (G), Fortier-Gendron A. (A), Mercier A. (A2)
17:26, 3 - 4, Shilov Y. (G), Vlasov A. (A), Lepage M. (A2)
19:44, 3 - 5, Shilov Y. (G), Bourque A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moncton won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Moncton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Moncton has had a series of home games.

Recently, Victoriaville has had a series of away games.

In this match, Moncton is a strong favorite.

We predict that Moncton will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moncton won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 75:59. (average 3.8:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Moncton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 3.9:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Moncton Wildcats - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.1%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moncton Wildcats
QMJHL
15.10.25	Moncton Wildcats - Val-dOr Foreurs	7:2 ✺
11.10.25	Halifax Mooseheads - Moncton Wildcats	4:5 ✺
10.10.25	Moncton Wildcats - Rimouski Oceanic	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Moncton Wildcats - Halifax Mooseheads	1:2 OT ✺
04.10.25	Moncton Wildcats - Saint John Sea Dogs	5:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL
- Victoriaville Tigres
QMJHL
16.10.25	Charlottetown Islanders - Victoriaville Tigres	5:4 ✺
15.10.25	Halifax Mooseheads - Victoriaville Tigres	4:2 ✺
11.10.25	Quebec Remparts - Victoriaville Tigres	3:5 ✺
05.10.25	Val-dOr Foreurs - Victoriaville Tigres	4:5 penalties ✺
04.10.25	Rouyn-Noranda Huskies - Victoriaville Tigres	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
23.02.25	Moncton Wildcats - Victoriaville Tigres	10:1
27.10.24	Victoriaville Tigres - Moncton Wildcats	3:5
18.01.24	Victoriaville Tigres - Moncton Wildcats	4:3
05.10.23	Moncton Wildcats - Victoriaville Tigres	3:5
03.02.23	Victoriaville Tigres - Moncton Wildcats	6:3
03.12.22	Moncton Wildcats - Victoriaville Tigres	2:3 penalties
12.12.21	Moncton Wildcats - Victoriaville Tigres	1:3

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