The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens 45.2%
Draw 22.4%
New Jersey Devils 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
22.2%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
20.9%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
New Jersey Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montreal Canadiens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New Jersey Devils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
41.7%
16.7%
Montreal Canadiens - New Jersey Devils Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). New Jersey will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Fowler J. (G)
25. Markstrom J. (G)
53. Dobson N.
7. Hamilton D.
8. Matheson M. (A)
71. Siegenthaler J.
20. Slafkovsky J.
91. Mercer D.
14. Suzuki N. (C)
13. Hischier N. (C)
13. Caufield C.
28. Meier T.
Line 2
48. Hutson L.
8. Kovacevic J.
47. Struble J.
43. Hughes L.
93. Demidov I.
16. Brown C.
91. Kapanen O.
86. Hughes J. (A)
15. Newhook A.
63. Bratt J.
Line 3
72. Xhekaj A.
17. Nemec S.
21. Guhle K.
5. Dillon B.
17. Anderson J.
72. Bjugstad N.
71. Evans J.
12. Glass C.
76. Bolduc Z.
29. Hameenaho L.
Line 4
11. Gallagher B. (A)
48. Halonen B.
24. Danault P.
21. McLaughlin M.
90. Veleno J.
47. Cotter P.
Substitutes
75. Dobes J. (G)
34. Allen J. (G)
Coaches
. St. Louis M.
. Keefe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
08:37, Guhle K. (2 min),
10:47, 0 - 1, Meier T. (G), Hughes J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:18, Halonen B. (2 min),
08:27, Hutson L. (2 min),
18:12, 0 - 2, Glass C. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:50, Anderson J. (5 min),
00:50, Hughes L. (2 min),
00:50, Hughes L. (2 min),
00:50, Kovacevic J. (Game Misconduct),
06:11, Hamilton D. (2 min),
13:00, Dillon B. (5 min),
13:00, Anderson J. (5 min),
13:00, Dillon B. (2 min),
13:00, Dillon B. (Game Misconduct),
16:35, 0 - 3, Brown C. (G), Hughes J. (A), Bratt J. (A2)
19:06, Brown C. (Game Misconduct),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
Montreal has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
New Jersey's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
Montreal could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Montreal: Carrier A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Dach K.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
There will not play in New Jersey: Gritsyuk A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
MacEwen Z.
(Knee Injury)
Noesen S.
(Knee Injury)
Pesce B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Montreal: Texier A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
We predict that Montreal will win today's game, with odds of 2.05.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 56:75. (average 2.8:3.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:44. (average 1.9:4).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 3.88% New Jersey Devils: 2.97%