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Current Win Probability
Mountfield Hradec Králové 34%
Draw 23.6%
Pardubice 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
23.4%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
24%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mountfield Hradec Králové has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mountfield Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
11.1%
88.9%
Mountfield Hradec Králové - Pardubice Predictions
Users Predictions:
Pardubice will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pardubice will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Skorvanek S. (G)
35. Will R. (G)
23. Melancon T.J.
41. Ceresnak P. (A)
4. Kivisto T.
7. Dvorak T.
69. Radil L. (A)
89. Mandat J.
56. Miskar P.
23. Sedlak L. (C)
98. Pavlik R.
19. Cervenka R. (A)
Line 2
89. Mudrak D.
33. Kostalek J.
62. Pilar R.
24. Hajek L.
26. Jergl A.
14. Fejes H.
25. Tamasi A.
11. Kondelik J.
94. Perret J. (A)
29. Kelemen M.
Line 3
9. Planek M. (C)
15. Ludvig J.
29. Kalina P.
79. Tourigny M.
7. Nenonen M.
61. Kaut M.
74. Bunnaman C.
71. Sobotka V.
46. Kohout M.
90. Kousal R.
Line 4
72. Dlapa O.
4. Miklis O.
88. Kusy D.
55. Vondracek T.
13. Hasek P.
44. Poulicek P.
64. Pour J.
88. Stransky J.
Substitutes
38. Marha S.
31. Vomacka T. (G)
35. Novotny F. (G)
Coaches
. Martinec T.
. Pesan F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
00:59, Kostalek J. (2 min),
16:26, Poulicek P. (2 min),
17:23, 1 - 0, Perret J. (G), Melancon T.J. (A), Nenonen M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
02:30, 2 - 0, Kusy D. (G),
04:21, Mudrak D. (2 min),
04:21, Fejes H. (2 min),
07:18, 2 - 1, Hajek L. (G), Kelemen M. (A), Mandat J. (A2)
08:08, Pour J. (5 min),
08:08, Miklis O. (5 min),
10:17, 2 - 2, Cervenka R. (G), Hajek L. (A),
16:22, 2 - 3, Sedlak L. (G), Mandat J. (A), Kostalek J. (A2)
20:00, Radil L. (2 min),
20:00, Tourigny M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:42, Poulicek P. (5 min),
10:02, Pour J. (2 min),
11:07, 3 - 3, Radil L. (G), Kivisto T. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Jergl A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Tourigny M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Radil L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Sedlak L. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kusy D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kaut M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Pour J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Sobotka V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Melancon T.J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Cervenka R. (Penalty Shot),
6, Kaut M. (Penalty Shot),
6, Nenonen M. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mountfield won 1.
In recent matches, Mountfield has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Pardubice is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Mountfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Mountfield has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Mountfield: Klima Kev.
(Upper-Body Injury)
McCormack G.
(Leg Injury)
Vukojevic M.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Pardubice: Ludvig J.
(Leg Injury)
Smejkal J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Subban M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Mountfield: Pavelka T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Pardubice: Lauko J.
(Leg Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mountfield won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 34:63. (average 1.7:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Mountfield won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.9:2.2).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Pardubice
10
8
0
0
2
42:27
24
7
Mountfield HK
9
3
2
0
4
25:25
13
Last Results with these Odds
Mountfield Hradec Králové - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.1%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Czech-republic
Slovakia
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Skorvanek S. (G) 
Will R. (G) 
Melancon T.J. 
Kivisto T. 
Fejes H. 
Perret J. (A) 
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