The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Jersey Devils 33.7%
Draw 22.4%
Vegas Golden Knights 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
22.2%
43.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
22.1%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Jersey Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
12.5%
50%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. New Jersey will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Vegas will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 25.5% – 74.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New Jersey Devils will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
25. Markstrom J. (G)
40. Schmid A. (G)
7. Hamilton D.
27. Theodore S.
71. Siegenthaler J.
3. McNabb B. (A)
11. Noesen S.
42. Bowman B.
13. Hischier N. (C)
9. Eichel J. (A)
28. Meier T.
49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
43. Hughes L.
2. Whitecloud Z.
5. Dillon B.
15. Hanifin N.
63. Bratt J. (A)
61. Stone M. (C)
91. Mercer D.
21. Howden B.
18. Palat O. (A)
93. Marner M.
Line 3
17. Nemec S.
6. Korczak K.
45. White C.
17. Hutton B.
16. Brown C.
16. Dorofeyev P.
12. Glass C.
48. Hertl T.
81. Gritsyuk A.
20. Saad B.
Line 4
9. Crookshank A.
55. Kolesar K.
14. Glendening L.
10. Sissons C.
47. Cotter P.
23. Reinhardt C.
Substitutes
34. Allen J. (G)
79. Hart C. (G)
Coaches
. Keefe S.
. Cassidy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
19:47, 0 - 1, Theodore S. (G), Eichel J. (A), Hanifin N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:16, Saad B. (2 min),
12:06, Hanifin N. (2 min),
14:11, Hischier N. (2 min),
15:34, 0 - 2, Hertl T. (G), Marner M. (A), Dorofeyev P. (A2)
17:24, Hischier N. (2 min),
18:36, 0 - 3, Barbashev I. (G), Eichel J. (A), Theodore S. (A2)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Jersey won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Vegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in New Jersey: Dadonov Y.
(Injury)
Hughes J.
(Finger Injury)
Kovacevic J.
(Knee Injury)
MacEwen Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Pesce B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Vegas: Hill A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Karlsson W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lauzon J.
(Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, New Jersey won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 40:46. (average 2.9:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, New Jersey won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 3.3:3.7).
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Last Results with these Odds
New Jersey Devils - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.63%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.
Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.17%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Markstrom J. (G) 
Schmid A. (G) 
Hamilton D. 
McNabb B. (A) 
Barbashev I. 
Palat O. (A) 
Nemec S. 
