The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Islanders 60.3%
Draw 19.7%
Toronto Maple Leafs 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.8%
21.3%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
22.2%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Islanders's performance.
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Maple Leafs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Islanders that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.3%
20%
6.7%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for NY Islanders: 50.9% – 95.7%.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
AH -1.5, OT - NY Islanders (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 2 - 100%).
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 5:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Sorokin I. (G)
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
6. Pulock R. (A)
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
48. Schaefer M.
22. McCabe J.
92. Holmstrom S.
88. Nylander W. (A)
14. Horvat B. (A)
91. Tavares J. (A)
27. Lee A. (C)
53. Cowan E.
Line 2
77. DeAngelo A.
51. Myers P.
3. Pelech A.
44. Rielly M. (A)
64. Ritchie C.
63. Maccelli M.
13. Barzal M.
11. Domi M.
10. Schenn B.
23. Knies M.
Line 3
24. Mayfield S.
28. Stecher T.
4. Soucy C.
2. Benoit S.
51. Heineman E.
89. Robertson N.
44. Pageau J.
43. Haymes L.
49. Shabanov M.
18. Lorentz S.
Line 4
16. Gatcomb M.
19. Jarnkrok C.
53. Cizikas C.
26. Quillan J.
81. Palat O.
61. Pezzetta M.
Substitutes
33. Rittich D. (G)
60. Woll J. (G)
Coaches
. DeBoer P.
. Berube C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
02:08, 1 - 0, Schenn B. (G), Ritchie C. (A), Horvat B. (A2)
04:55, 2 - 0, Pageau J. (G), Shabanov M. (A), Pelech A. (A2)
05:11, 2 - 1, Lorentz S. (G),
18:50, Pezzetta M. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:36, Ritchie C. (2 min),
01:57, 2 - 2, Cowan E. (G), Tavares J. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
09:39, 3 - 2, Schaefer M. (G), DeAngelo A. (A), Palat O. (A2)
15:17, Myers P. (2 min),
16:44, 4 - 2, Heineman E. (G), Barzal M. (A), DeAngelo A. (A2)
17:01, Robertson N. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
09:04, Rielly M. (2 min),
09:39, Lorentz S. (2 min),
09:39, Ekman-Larsson O. (Game Misconduct),
10:20, 5 - 2, Ritchie C. (G),
14:04, 5 - 3, Rielly M. (G), Maccelli M. (A), Haymes L. (A2)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
In this match, NY Islanders is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Palmieri K.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A.
(Knee Injury)
Tanev C.
(Abdominal strain)
There are questionable in NY Islanders: DeAngelo A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Toronto: Stolarz A.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 61:54. (average 3.1:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:31. (average 3.4:2.8).
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Outrights of NHL for now
New York Islanders: 0.42%
Last Results with these Odds
New York Islanders - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.81%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
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Sorokin I. (G) 
Pulock R. (A) 
Ekman-Larsson O. 
McCabe J. 
Maccelli M. 
Palat O. 
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