Match Info

OHL

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Sleeman Centre (Guelph, ON)


	Guelph Storm		Niagara IceDogs

	1	X	2
	1.76	4.75	3.43
	1.7	4.72	3.46	Watch
	1.67	4.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)	4.66 ↓ (4.72)	3.5 ↑ (3.46)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guelph Storm
53.9%

Draw
19.8%

Niagara IceDogs
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

19.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

20.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guelph Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Niagara IceDogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)	32. Yermolenko V. (G)
86. Avery J.	72. Barnes B.
17. Babin P.	7. Cheynowski C.
89. Belohorsky S.	33. Chromiak J. (A)
3. Frossard E.	12. Czata E. (C)
73. Gallacher L.	27. Dell'Elce S.
75. Haponenko M.	44. Doherty S.
91. Hopkins T. (A)	17. Edgar R.
19. Jenken N.	92. Galiyanov I.
93. McFadden W.	9. Hage A.
72. McKenzie H.	64. Hull C.
15. Miedema E.	6. Knauft J.
20. Serlin L.	19. Monks J.
81. Shybinskyi I.	21. Patterson R. (A)
9. Snelgrove P.	93. Read N.
21. Spada G.	16. Reid H.
96. Stevens C.	61. Simon Wang
12. Topp R. (A)	49. Spencer L.
77. Wycisk J.	8. Tiller G. (A)
Substitutes
55. Ellsworth C. (G)	77. Robertson C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:07, 0 - 1, Edgar R. (G), Reid H. (A), Tiller G. (A2)
11:11, 0 - 2, Read N. (G), Patterson R. (A), Czata E. (A2)
17:55, 1 - 2, McFadden W. (G), Stevens C. (A), Shybinskyi I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:49, 2 - 2, Wycisk J. (G), Hopkins T. (A), Shybinskyi I. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Gallacher L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Patterson R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Hopkins T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Reid H. (Penalty Shot),
3, Wycisk J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 3.

Guelph is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Niagara's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guelph may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Niagara has had a series of away games.

In this match, Guelph is considered a favorite.

We predict that Guelph will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 81:75. (average 4.1:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guelph won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:31. (average 4.2:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Guelph Storm - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.01%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Niagara IceDogs - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 26.54%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guelph Storm
OHL
25.02.26	Guelph Storm - Kitchener Rangers	4:5 ✺
22.02.26	Saginaw Spirit - Guelph Storm	5:8 ✺
21.02.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Guelph Storm	0:1 ✺
18.02.26	Sarnia Sting - Guelph Storm	2:3 OT ✺
16.02.26	Guelph Storm - Erie Otters	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 LWWWW
- Niagara IceDogs
OHL
26.02.26	Niagara IceDogs - Erie Otters	5:4 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Niagara IceDogs	3:4 OT ✺
20.02.26	Ottawa 67s - Niagara IceDogs	7:1 ✺
16.02.26	Sudbury Wolves - Niagara IceDogs	6:2 ✺
15.02.26	North Bay Battalion - Niagara IceDogs	9:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
09.02.26	Niagara IceDogs - Guelph Storm	3:6
28.11.24	Niagara IceDogs - Guelph Storm	5:3
15.11.24	Guelph Storm - Niagara IceDogs	8:5
31.12.23	Niagara IceDogs - Guelph Storm	6:5 OT
17.11.23	Guelph Storm - Niagara IceDogs	3:2
09.09.23	Niagara IceDogs - Guelph Storm	1:4
18.11.22	Guelph Storm - Niagara IceDogs	6:3

Guelph Storm - Niagara IceDogs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide