Match Info

OHL

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Meridian Centre (St. Catharines, ON)


	Niagara IceDogs		London Knights

	1	X	2
	3.03	4.22	1.9
	3.11	4.37	1.87
	3.1	4.2	1.8
	3.05	4.4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.38)	4.3 ↑ (4.29)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niagara IceDogs
29.6%

Draw
21.1%

London Knights
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

21%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

20%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niagara IceDogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

London Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for London Knights than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that London Knights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Yermolenko V. (G)	78. Medvedev A. (G)
72. Barnes B.	34. Bidgood C.
7. Cheynowski C.	18. Brown J.
22. Cooksey C.	2. Brzustewicz H. (A)
12. Czata E. (A)	11. Clark B.
27. Dell'Elce S.	6. Cook B.
17. Edgar R.	87. Cover J.
26. Frolov A.	21. Crete M.
92. Galiyanov I.	4. Fimis A.
11. He K. (C)	27. Funck L.
6. Knauft J.	26. Hawery L.
19. Monks J.	72. Hawkins K.
21. Patterson R. (A)	77. Mitchell C.
93. Read N.	23. O'Reilly S. (C)
16. Reid H.	55. van Bommel R.
3. Reisnecker B.	14. van Gorp E.
25. Roobroeck R. (A)	66. Wassilyn B.
43. Smith R.	53. Wilmott B.
49. Spencer L.	51. Woolley J. (A)
	71. Zakharov M.
Substitutes
77. Robertson C. (G)	80. Gatto S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:43, 1 - 0, Roobroeck R. (G), Patterson R. (A), Czata E. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
06:10, 1 - 1, van Gorp E. (G), O'Reilly S. (A), Bidgood C. (A2)
07:06, 2 - 1, Roobroeck R. (G), Barnes B. (A), Smith R. (A2)
11:52, 3 - 1, Reid H. (G), Patterson R. (A), Roobroeck R. (A2)
19:49, 4 - 1, Czata E. (G), Patterson R. (A), Roobroeck R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
04:50, 4 - 2, Clark B. (G), Wassilyn B. (A), Woolley J. (A2)
14:21, 4 - 3, Brzustewicz H. (G), van Gorp E. (A), Clark B. (A2)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Niagara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, London is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 47:90. (average 2.4:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Niagara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:41. (average 3:4.1).

Last Results with these Odds

London Knights - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.42%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niagara IceDogs
OHL
07.12.25	Niagara IceDogs - North Bay Battalion	2:1 OT ✺
05.12.25	Brampton Steelheads - Niagara IceDogs	2:4 ✺
30.11.25	Niagara IceDogs - Peterborough Petes	3:6 ✺
28.11.25	Kitchener Rangers - Niagara IceDogs	6:3 ✺
22.11.25	Niagara IceDogs - Barrie Colts	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLL
- London Knights
OHL
05.12.25	London Knights - Windsor Spitfires	1:4 ✺
03.12.25	London Knights - Kitchener Rangers	3:4 ✺
29.11.25	Saginaw Spirit - London Knights	5:8 ✺
28.11.25	London Knights - Saginaw Spirit	2:4 ✺
22.11.25	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - London Knights	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
01.03.25	Niagara IceDogs - London Knights	6:4
03.01.25	London Knights - Niagara IceDogs	9:4
30.09.23	Niagara IceDogs - London Knights	2:5
29.09.23	London Knights - Niagara IceDogs	2:1
02.12.22	London Knights - Niagara IceDogs	2:1
27.10.22	Niagara IceDogs - London Knights	2:3 OT
04.02.20	Niagara IceDogs - London Knights	2:5

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