The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kitchener Rangers 54.8%
Draw 20.2%
Niagara IceDogs 25.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.9%
20.3%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
19.3%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kitchener Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Niagara IceDogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Schaubel J. (G)
32. Yermolenko V. (G)
9. Anstis A.
34. Banas J.
11. Arquette C.
72. Barnes B. (A)
89. Bilecki A. (A)
33. Colosimo C.
17. Cameron W.
25. Dell'Elce S.
13. Ellis H.
17. Edgar R. (A)
91. Forrest A.
92. Galiyanov I.
29. Gombar J.
73. Gallacher L.
55. Kut T.
9. Hage A.
93. LaBrash J.
64. Hull C.
37. Lam T. (A)
61. Langdon J.
14. Lukes J.
22. Lappan M.
98. Puglisi C.
11. Lewandowski C.
44. Roberson R.
12. McFadden W.
77. Robinson I.
16. Merrill F.
86. Romano L. (A)
86. Mullins W.
23. Santala L.
5. Munnings B.
21. Schneider K.
43. Smith R. (A)
2. Toporowski D.
49. Spencer L.
Substitutes
30. Hriczov M. (G)
35. Haffner C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
19:15, 0 - 1, Edgar R. (G), McFadden W. (A), Smith R. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
06:52, 1 - 1, Arquette C. (G), Bilecki A. (A), Lam T. (A2)
19:27, 2 - 1, Arquette C. (G), Toporowski D. (A), Bilecki A. (A2)
19:45, 2 - 2, Edgar R. (G), McFadden W. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
03:30, 3 - 2, Gombar J. (G),
12:48, 4 - 2, Ellis H. (G), Lam T. (A), Forrest A. (A2)
15:57, 5 - 2, Romano L. (G),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 8th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 5th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitchener won 3.
Kitchener has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Niagara have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Niagara may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kitchener has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Kitchener is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kitchener has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 88:77 (averaging 4.4:3.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kitchener against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 44:36 goals (averaging 4:3.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Kitchener Rangers - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.93%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
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Schaubel J. (G) 
Yermolenko V. (G) 
Anstis A. 
Gombar J. 
Santala L. 
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