Match Info

Tipsport liga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tipsport arena (Nitra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	JOJ Play


	Nitra		Dukla Michalovce

	1	X	2
	1.48	5.25	4.5
	1.56	4.65	4.45	Watch
	1.5	4.3	4.88
	1.52	4.72	5.03	Watch
	1.44	4.8	4.8
	1.53	4.8	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	4.75 ↑ (4.56)	4.68 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nitra
61%

Draw
19.3%

Dukla Michalovce
19.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.7%

20.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

24.3%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nitra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Dukla Michalovce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nitra than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nitra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Michalovce than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Nitra - Dukla Michalovce Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Nitra (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nitra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Gadzhiev S. (G)	33. Durny R. (G)
44. Osburn Z.	85. Marcinko J.
24. Mezei B. (C)	59. Welsh C.
67. Paulovic M.	51. Martel J.
13. Kristof M. (A)	11. Roy M.
25. Bucek S.	22. Virtanen J.
Line 2
64. Graham J.	44. Melisko J.
2. Baca M.	4. Bindulis K.
11. Lawrence J.	88. Fominykh D.
29. Chrenko T.	91. Kytnar M.
12. Passolt J.	7. Spodniak M.
Line 3
17. Vitalos M.	77. Kubka B.
16. Stacha M.	3. Sertti L.
39. Lacka J.	61. Bartanus M.
27. Cederle S.	80. Smida S.
88. Okolicany D.	13. Stahon L.
Line 4
98. Turansky A.	55. Stripai A.
91. Jackson R.	8. Rimko A.
80. Hrnka T. (A)	10. Matta I.
96. Molnar O.	70. Lichanec P.
	18. Hrabcak S.
Substitutes
1. Ferguson D. (G)	35. Glosar V. (G)
	31. Majercik B. (G)
Coaches
. Kmec A.	. Caladi E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
00:30, 1 - 0, Cederle S. (G), Lacka J. (A),
03:00, Virtanen J. (2 min),
04:57, 2 - 0, Hrnka T. (G), Bucek S. (A), Lawrence J. (A2)
11:37, Virtanen J. (2 min),
11:37, Stacha M. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:00, Okolicany D. (2 min),
06:48, Martel J. (2 min),
12:29, Lawrence J. (2 min),
16:34, Marcinko J. (2 min),
17:29, 3 - 0, Lawrence J. (G), Graham J. (A), Bucek S. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:40, 3 - 1, Roy M. (G), Melisko J. (A), Virtanen J. (A2)
09:10, 4 - 1, Okolicany D. (G), Cederle S. (A), Lacka J. (A2)
09:10, Okolicany D. (2 min),
14:44, Marcinko J. (2 min),
18:27, 5 - 1, Lacka J. (G), Cederle S. (A),

Preview

Series tied 3-3. Seventh leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nitra won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Nitra is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nitra won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 72:60. (average 3.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nitra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:33. (average 3.8:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Michalovce	12	4	1	1	6	30:41	15
10	Nitra	12	3	2	1	6	33:36	14

Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now

Nitra: 10.44% Michalovce: 2.54%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Nitra
Slovak Extraliga
29.03.26	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	4:2 ✺
27.03.26	Nitra - Dukla Michalovce	5:3 ✺
25.03.26	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	2:3 ✺
24.03.26	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Nitra - Dukla Michalovce	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL
- HK Dukla Michalovce
Slovak Extraliga
29.03.26	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	4:2 ✺
27.03.26	Nitra - Dukla Michalovce	5:3 ✺
25.03.26	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	2:3 ✺
24.03.26	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Nitra - Dukla Michalovce	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
29.03.26	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	4:2
27.03.26	Nitra - Dukla Michalovce	5:3
25.03.26	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	2:3
24.03.26	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	4:2
21.03.26	Nitra - Dukla Michalovce	2:3 OT
20.03.26	Nitra - Dukla Michalovce	4:3 OT
20.01.26	Nitra - Dukla Michalovce	5:1

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