The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nitra 50.8%
Draw 21%
Spišská Nová Ves 28.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.7%
22.4%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
25%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nitra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Spišská Nová Ves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nitra than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spišská Nová Ves than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Nitra - Spišská Nová Ves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Marinov M. (G)
3. Surak F. (G)
44. Osburn Z.
6. Romanak D.
24. Mezei B.
47. Martin C.
67. Paulovic M.
12. Skalos B.
89. Holesinsky A.
18. Cormier X.
91. Jackson R.
90. Lapsansky A.
Line 2
2. Baca M.
4. Mack S.
16. Stacha M.
21. Ziak A.
39. Lacka J.
84. Jaaskelainen J.
71. Pollock B.
9. Sramaty M.
98. Turansky A.
75. Lepaus T.
Line 3
17. Vitalos M.
5. Pisoja M.
28. Kalman A.
33. Groch S.
80. Hrnka T.
24. Stevuliak P.
29. Chrenko T.
88. Palocko M.
41. Timashov D.
91. Dzugan R.
Line 4
19. Sisik S.
83. Bellus M.
15. Carmichael E.
61. Kubat A.
9. Kovac H.
64. Gago M.
21. Bajtek F.
15. Hodas D.
11. Lass D.
Substitutes
30. Jurusik M. (G)
34. Outhouse G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
01:02, 1 - 0, Pollock B. (G), Lacka J. (A), Baca M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:34, 2 - 0, Hrnka T. (G), Kalman A. (A), Chrenko T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
10:32, 3 - 0, Jackson R. (G), Kalman A. (A), Holesinsky A. (A2)
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 11th and 2nd in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nitra won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Nitra (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Spišská Nová Ves is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Spišská Nová Ves could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nitra holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Spišská Nová Ves in today's match, at odds of 3.07.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nitra has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:47 (averaging 2.9:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nitra against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 29:23 goals (averaging 2.9:2.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Spisska Nova Ves
13
6
2
0
5
38:32
22
10
Nitra
12
3
2
1
6
33:36
14
Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now
Nitra: 10.44% Spisska Nova Ves: 5.6%
Last Results with these Odds
Spišská Nová Ves - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 28.94%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.