Match Info

Championship

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Kazakhstan Sports Palace (Astana)


	Nomad		Gornyak Rudny

	1	X	2
	1.70	4.33	3.40
	1.65	4.4	3.7	Watch
	1.73	4.42	3.52	Watch
	1.62	4.25	3.7
	1.65	4.45	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)	4.37 ↓ (4.41)	3.62 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nomad
54.2%

Draw
20.7%

Gornyak Rudny
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

20.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

21.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nomad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Gornyak Rudny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nomad than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak Rudny than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Nomad - Gornyak Rudny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Nurek V. (G)	81. Nikitin V. (G)
10. Alibek A.	11. Buivan S.
57. Beisembayev A.	96. Gorozhaninov I.
5. Boiko O. (C)	27. Gurin V.
78. Dvurechensky K.	7. Katkov A. (A)
67. Gafurov A.	28. Krotov V.
27. Kalelkhan A.	5. Kurshuk A. (A)
31. Korolyov A. (A)	93. Lazarev S.
85. Makarov A.	82. Lyapunov N.
68. Mangisbayev A.	15. Manazhanov T.
22. Medvedev D.	87. Mozzherin M.
84. Migunov A.	19. Parkhomenko D.
87. Nikitin K. (A)	35. Platonov D.
77. Ruslanuly A.	14. Rakhimov S.
66. Shulga N.	42. Ryazanov D.
86. Simonov T.	97. Shimin Y.
98. Sitnikov N.	41. Stulov D.
74. Suleimenov A.	71. Tserulnikov A.
17. Tsybin D.	8. Utebayev R.
9. Tusupbekov R.	76. Yakovlev A.
	17. Yulbarisov O. (C)
Substitutes
21. Dudarkiyev J. (G)	21. Layurov V. (G)
35. Shestakov A. (G)	30. Meider T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
03:31, 0 - 1, Krotov V. (G), Lazarev S. (A), Yulbarisov O. (A2)
08:01, 1 - 1, Dvurechensky K. (G), Tusupbekov R. (A), Migunov A. (A2)
11:19, 1 - 2, Yulbarisov O. (G), Krotov V. (A), Stulov D. (A2)
18:39, 2 - 2, Sitnikov N. (G), Boiko O. (A), Mangisbayev A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
12:13, 3 - 2, Beisembayev A. (G), Korolyov A. (A), Shulga N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:30, 4 - 2, Nikitin K. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nomad won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gornyak Rudny may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gornyak Rudny has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nomad is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nomad won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 72:65. (average 3.6:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nomad won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:32. (average 3.6:3.2).

Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now

Nomad Astana: 26.19% Gornyak Rudny: 3.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Nomad Astana	16	12	3	1	0	77:31	31
4	Gornyak Rudny	16	9	2	1	4	66:39	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nomad Astana
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
06.09.26	Nomad - Gornyak Rudny	3:4 OT ✺
02.09.26	Nomad - Ertis Pavlodar	14:1 ✺
01.09.26	Nomad - Ertis Pavlodar	5:1 ✺
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
19.08.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Nomad	6:2 ✺
18.08.26	Almaty - Nomad	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLW
- Gornyak Rudny
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
06.09.26	Nomad - Gornyak Rudny	3:4 OT ✺
03.09.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Gornyak Rudny	1:3 ✺
02.09.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Gornyak Rudny	3:1 ✺
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
24.08.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Gornyak Rudny	5:2 ✺
19.08.26	Gornyak Rudny - Beibarys Atyrau	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
06.09.26	Nomad - Gornyak Rudny	3:4 OT
03.02.26	Gornyak Rudny - Nomad	3:0
02.02.26	Gornyak Rudny - Nomad	4:7
24.10.25	Gornyak Rudny - Nomad	3:6
23.10.25	Gornyak Rudny - Nomad	7:3
14.10.25	Nomad - Gornyak Rudny	4:3
13.10.25	Nomad - Gornyak Rudny	6:1

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