Match Info

Championship

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kazakhstan Sports Palace (Astana)


	Nomad		Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.3	2.45
	2.07	5.78	2.32	Watch
	2.1	4.2	2.45
	2.17	4.1	2.48
	2.1	4.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.07)	4.54 ↓ (5.53)	2.44 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nomad
42.8%

Draw
20%

Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

16.5%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

17.5%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nomad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nomad than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Nomad - Torpedo Ust Kamenogorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kalmykov R. (G)	1. Pestov V. (G)
57. Beisembayev A.	67. Aldabergenov E.
5. Boiko O.	8. Borovikov S. (A)
7. Britikov D.	85. Bykov D.
8. Butenko D.	3. Gavrilenko I.
77. Daniyar Say. (C)	92. Grents D. (A)
91. Dikhanbek M. (A)	94. Kairov D.
58. Gaitamirov T.	55. Khoroshev F. (C)
15. Gatiyatov A.	13. Klyauzov I.
9. Guseinov D.	16. Kolobov N.
34. Kolesnikov V. (A)	24. Musorov M.
31. Korolyov A.	28. Ospanov R.
86. Makarov A.	15. Panchenko A.
17. Makeyev D.	19. Rakhmanov M.
68. Mangisbayev A.	7. Rifel S.
69. Merzlikin N.	88. Rudenkov I.
84. Migunov A.	52. Runov A.
81. Muratov B.	98. Rysbekov D.
18. Reshetko G.	65. Ryzhy I.
74. Suleimenov A.	33. Sergiyenko Y.
71. Tsybin D.
Substitutes
50. Nikitin V. (G)	20. Yankov A. (G)
	72. Zinovyev D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 4)
10:22, 0 - 1, Kolobov N. (G), Grents D. (A), Borovikov S. (A2)
10:50, 0 - 2, Sergiyenko Y. (G), Musorov M. (A), Khoroshev F. (A2)
15:41, 0 - 3, Panchenko A. (G), Sergiyenko Y. (A),
18:21, 0 - 4, Bykov D. (G), Ospanov R. (A), Kolobov N. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 3)
04:37, 1 - 4, Boiko O. (G), Butenko D. (A), Guseinov D. (A2)
06:52, 2 - 4, Butenko D. (G), Boiko O. (A), Guseinov D. (A2)
07:38, 3 - 4, Gatiyatov A. (G), Guseinov D. (A), Dikhanbek M. (A2)
11:53, 3 - 5, Kolobov N. (G), Ospanov R. (A), Borovikov S. (A2)
13:05, 3 - 6, Runov A. (G), Khoroshev F. (A), Kolobov N. (A2)
13:57, 3 - 7, Gavrilenko I. (G), Grents D. (A), Panchenko A. (A2)

Preview

Nomad is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Torpedo is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nomad won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Nomad has had a series of away games.

Recently, Torpedo has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nomad won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 70:50. (average 3.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nomad won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:31. (average 3.1:2.6).

Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now

Nomad Astana: 26.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Nomad Astana	16	12	3	1	0	77:31	31
3	Torpedo	16	8	3	2	3	67:36	24

Last Results with these Odds

Nomad - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.13%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.37%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nomad Astana
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
10.02.26	Nomad - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Nomad	1:5 ✺
06.02.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Nomad	3:4 OT ✺
03.02.26	Gornyak Rudny - Nomad	3:0 ✺
02.02.26	Gornyak Rudny - Nomad	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW
- Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
10.02.26	Nomad - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Almaty	6:0 ✺
06.02.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Almaty	4:2 ✺
03.02.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Aktobe	5:1 ✺
02.02.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Aktobe	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
10.02.26	Nomad - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	3:2
19.12.25	Nomad - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	1:5
18.12.25	Nomad - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	2:4
14.11.25	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Nomad	5:2
13.11.25	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Nomad	2:4
20.11.24	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Nomad	3:1
19.11.24	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Nomad	4:3

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