Match Info

VHL

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Norilsk		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.42	2.69
	2.06	3.35	2.6
	2.13	3.95	2.89	Watch
	2.1	3.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.07)	3.64 ↓ (4.1)	2.75 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
42.7%

Draw
24.6%

Izhstal
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

22.9%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

24.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Norilsk - Izhstal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Norilsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Voityuk V. (G)	59. Sukhachyov V. (G)
4. Shalapov Y. (A)	23. Glebov G. (C)
11. Steklov K.	50. Zhdanov Y.
88. Shalagin M. (A)	87. Gordin A.
52. Shevchenko V.	10. Astashevsky S. (A)
8. Avramenko I.	69. Maklozyan Y.
Line 2
74. Perelyayev S.	79. Tikhonov M.
66. Drugalya S.	3. Zubarev A.
86. Kirileichenko M.	19. Alekseev A.
36. Zlodeyev D.	7. Pukelo K.
56. Mokin N. (C)	39. Kovalyov A.
Line 3
3. Melyakov K.	92. Murylev A.
43. Sinitsky I.	32. Rogov I.
23. Klimovich Y.	9. Zhabreyev A.
87. Gorbunov Y.	78. Komaristy A. (A)
69. Filin F.	71. Dolgopyatov N.
Line 4
22. Rodionov A.	36. Martynov K.
28. Shevchenko A.	11. Kochurov D.
10. Lipanov A.	91. Gorfinyak E.
89. Yemets I.	13. Piskunov P.
Substitutes
98. Gluschenko R. (G)	33. Lysenkov N. (G)
	28. Rakcheyev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:09, 1 - 0, Zlodeyev D. (G), Shalagin M. (A),
00:49, 1 - 1, Kovalyov A. (G), Alekseev A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
06:20, 1 - 2, Alekseev A. (G), Pukelo K. (A), Kovalyov A. (A2)
07:39, 2 - 2, Drugalya S. (G), Shalagin M. (A),
08:15, 3 - 2, Yemets I. (G), Shevchenko A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Izhstal could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Norilsk has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Norilsk in today's match, at odds of 2.16.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Norilsk has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:16 (averaging 3.5:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Norilsk against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:11 goals (averaging 3.3:3.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	HC Norilsk	15	8	1	2	4	35:33	20
29	Izhevsk	12	1	2	1	8	27:37	7

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.32%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Izhstal - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.8%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
06.10.26	Norilsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:2 ✺
01.10.26	Kristall Saratov - Norilsk	2:3 penalties ✺
29.09.26	Dizel Penza - Norilsk	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	Tambov - Norilsk	4:1 ✺
25.09.26	Buran Voronezh - Norilsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLW
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
03.10.26	Izhstal - Kaluga	1:3 ✺
01.10.26	Izhstal - AKM	4:3 OT ✺
29.09.26	Izhstal - Ryazan	3:2 penalties ✺
20.09.26	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	4:3 ✺
18.09.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Izhstal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
22.01.26	Izhstal - Norilsk	1:6
30.10.25	Norilsk - Izhstal	0:5
16.01.25	Izhstal - Norilsk	2:4
05.11.24	Norilsk - Izhstal	8:3
08.02.24	Norilsk - Izhstal	2:3 penalties
16.09.23	Izhstal - Norilsk	2:1

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