Match Info

VHL

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Vysotsky Sports Palace (Samara)


	CSK VVS Samara		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.09	4.23
	1.62	4.5	4.44	Watch
	1.5	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 (1.58)	4.2 ↑ (4.1)	4.39 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSK VVS Samara
57.6%

Draw
21.7%

Norilsk
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

22.8%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.4%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSK VVS Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-3%)

CSK VVS Samara - Norilsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
71. Popov D. (G)	37. Botov M. (G)
8. Gorbunov K.	28. Makeyev N.
7. Teterin O.	98. Abdeyev I.
13. Demchenko V.	56. Mokin N. (C)
19. Galimov A. (A)	11. Shevchenko V. (A)
94. Anop D. (A)	19. Aksenov A.
Line 2
18. Safonov I. (C)	44. Kovalev I.
17. Kalabushkin E.	51. Popov O.
52. Grishakov A.	71. Golodnyuk S.
15. Krikunenko R.	89. Gorbunov D. (A)
75. Dyadenkin D.	69. Skorikov D.
Line 3
96. Ganabin Y.	79. Chebykin Y.
61. Vafin K.	21. Kolomiytsev I.
22. Kuznetsov A.	58. Yadykin Y.
32. Barabanov V.	92. Yakovlev Y.
25. Petrov G.	93. Korenev I.
Line 4
23. Chervonenko V.	18. Alexeyev D.
87. Borodin D.	91. Lazarev A.
11. Mustafin R.	86. Melnichenko K.
33. Aliyev R.	97. Leontyev A.
Substitutes
88. Ustimenko K. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
03:04, 1 - 0, Krikunenko R. (G), Grishakov A. (A), Ganabin Y. (A2)
12:07, 1 - 1, Golodnyuk S. (G), Gorbunov D. (A), Shevchenko V. (A2)
17:35, 2 - 1, Galimov A. (G), Chervonenko V. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:41, 3 - 1, Barabanov V. (G), Gorbunov K. (A), Kuznetsov A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
12:27, 3 - 2, Aksenov A. (G), Kovalev I. (A), Skorikov D. (A2)
15:25, 3 - 3, Mokin N. (G), Aksenov A. (A), Kovalev I. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:12, 3 - 4, Golodnyuk S. (G),

Preview

CSK VVS has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Norilsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Norilsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, CSK VVS is considered a favorite.

We predict that CSK VVS will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSK VVS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 2.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, CSK VVS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSK VVS Samara
VHL
16.12.25	Buran Voronezh - CSK VVS Samara	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Rostov - CSK VVS Samara	0:3 ✺
12.12.25	Tambov - CSK VVS Samara	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	CSK VVS Samara - Buran Voronezh	1:0 OT ✺
04.12.25	CSK VVS Samara - Rostov	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW
- HK Norilsk
VHL
19.12.25	Chelny - Norilsk	4:2 ✺
17.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Norilsk	3:4 OT ✺
10.12.25	Norilsk - SKA-VMF	3:4 penalties ✺
08.12.25	Norilsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:3 ✺
05.12.25	Norilsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
21.11.25	Norilsk - CSK VVS Samara	3:5
04.03.25	Norilsk - CSK VVS Samara	2:0
17.09.24	CSK VVS Samara - Norilsk	2:3
16.02.24	CSK VVS Samara - Norilsk	2:3
04.09.23	Norilsk - CSK VVS Samara	3:2

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