The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Bay Battalion 36.5%
Draw 22.3%
Flint Firebirds 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
22%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
21.9%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Bay Battalion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Flint Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Bay Battalion than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. LIsson J. (G)
1. Vaccari M. (G)
29. Amidovski L. (A)
19. Allen D.
13. Barch H.
22. Anderson D.
17. Cali R.
76. Aspinall N. (C)
11. Carey R.
86. Battaglia J.
18. Dubrovtsev Y.
13. Colosimo J.
4. Enright A.
65. Fellinger R.
26. Gervais S.
14. Graziano L.
6. Harper B.
11. He K.
3. Kapageridis J.
20. Komadoski G.
8. Karmanov A.
47. Kostov A. (A)
19. Laird N. (A)
10. Lombardi J. (A)
24. Moses S.
68. Murata C.
12. Pitre K.
95. Pazii I.
21. Procyszyn E. (C)
98. Podrekar U. (A)
25. Ride B. (A)
77. Smith B.
16. Vaughan P.
81. Tessier X.
14. Warren C.
9. Thibodeau C.
28. Wellenreiter N.
8. Uljanskis D.
Substitutes
32. Vreugdenhil C. (G)
55. Courville M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
07:19, 1 - 0, Procyszyn E. (G), Enright A. (A),
12:48, 2 - 0, Amidovski L. (G), Laird N. (A), Enright A. (A2)
16:22, 3 - 0, Wellenreiter N. (G), Cali R. (A), Warren C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 4)
04:46, 3 - 1, Uljanskis D. (G), He K. (A), Aspinall N. (A2)
06:23, 3 - 2, Podrekar U. (G), Anderson D. (A), Battaglia J. (A2)
10:13, 3 - 3, Aspinall N. (G), He K. (A), Graziano L. (A2)
18:38, 3 - 4, He K. (G), Aspinall N. (A), Graziano L. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
04:07, 3 - 5, Lombardi J. (G), He K. (A), Aspinall N. (A2)
19:30, 3 - 6, Kostov A. (G),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Bay won 4.
North Bay has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Flint has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, North Bay won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 84:59. (average 4.7:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, North Bay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 47:24. (average 5.2:2.7).
Last Results with these Odds
North Bay Battalion - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.48%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Flint Firebirds - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.