The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flint Firebirds 64%
Draw 18.1%
Kingston Frontenacs 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
19.7%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
21%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flint Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flint Firebirds's performance.
Kingston Frontenacs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kingston Frontenacs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flint Firebirds that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kingston Frontenacs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
14:15, 2 - 1, Anderson D. (G), Graziano L. (A), Aspinall N. (A2)
16:23, 3 - 1, Smith B. (G), Bonnyman J. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:45, 4 - 1, Battaglia J. (G),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint won 2.
Flint is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Kingston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kingston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Flint is the team to beat.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Flint won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 47:72. (average 2.8:4.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Flint won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:39. (average 2:4.9).