The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barrie Colts 40.1%
Draw 22.5%
Flint Firebirds 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
22.1%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
24.3%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrie Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barrie Colts's performance.
Flint Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flint Firebirds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
62. Hrebik B. (G)
1. Vaccari M. (G)
77. Aitcheson K. (C)
19. Allen D.
29. Beaudoin C. (A)
22. Anderson D.
14. Crombie C.
76. Aspinall N. (C)
2. Desiderio N.
86. Battaglia J.
78. Eliasson G.
27. Bonnyman J.
41. Emerton C.
13. Colosimo J.
25. Gardiner B. (A)
65. Fellinger R.
16. Handsor J.
11. He K.
28. Hemming E.
20. Komadoski G.
85. Lowe C.
10. Lombardi J. (A)
83. McCormick J.
4. Morgan B.
84. Newton J.
68. Murata C.
88. Passmore E. (A)
7. Paul J.
15. Salandra J.
95. Pazii I.
11. Schneid W.
98. Podrekar U. (A)
6. Von Richter P.
77. Smith B.
53. Wilmott B.
9. Thibodeau C.
19. Zebeski M.
8. Uljanskis D.
Substitutes
1. Jaswal A. (G)
55. Courville M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
05:25, 1 - 0, Schneid W. (G), Salandra J. (A), Lowe C. (A2)
06:18, 1 - 1, Murata C. (G), Aspinall N. (A), Uljanskis D. (A2)
09:41, 2 - 1, Wilmott B. (G), Hemming E. (A), Beaudoin C. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:10, 3 - 1, Hemming E. (G), Wilmott B. (A), Beaudoin C. (A2)
00:27, 3 - 2, Anderson D. (G), Podrekar U. (A),
11:42, 3 - 3, Fellinger R. (G), Bonnyman J. (A), He K. (A2)
15:39, 4 - 3, Aitcheson K. (G), Emerton C. (A), Hemming E. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:37, 5 - 3, Hemming E. (G), Aitcheson K. (A), Passmore E. (A2)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrie won 4.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Flint may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Flint has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Barrie won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 75:47. (average 4.7:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrie won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 4.3:3.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Flint Firebirds - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.