The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sudbury Wolves 20.7%
Draw 18.5%
Flint Firebirds 60.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
19.7%
55.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
20.7%
52.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sudbury Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Flint Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flint Firebirds's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sudbury Wolves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flint Firebirds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bronas B. (G)
1. Vaccari M. (G)
44. Berehowsky D.
19. Allen D.
93. Blonda L.
22. Anderson D.
26. Chovan J.
76. Aspinall N. (C)
19. Clayton B.
86. Battaglia J.
11. Dean E.
91. Bleick Z.
24. Doucet H.
13. Colosimo J.
7. Ewles G.
88. Cunningham R.
84. Gonchar A.
65. Fellinger R.
77. Henderson R. (A)
14. Graziano L.
81. Kostuch C.
11. He K.
66. Lemieux J.
47. Kostov A. (A)
13. Martin H.
10. Lombardi J. (A)
71. Nemec A.
68. Murata C.
4. O'Dell T.
95. Pazii I.
97. Provorov V.
98. Podrekar U. (A)
57. Smith B.
81. Tessier X.
96. Smith P.
9. Thibodeau C.
88. Ula G.
8. Uljanskis D.
Substitutes
35. Rheaume C.
55. Courville M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (4 - 0)
08:30, 1 - 0, Chovan J. (G), Gonchar A. (A), Lemieux J. (A2)
09:31, 2 - 0, Smith P. (G), Henderson R. (A),
13:29, 3 - 0, Gonchar A. (G), Clayton B. (A), Dean E. (A2)
17:10, 4 - 0, Lemieux J. (G), Ula G. (A), Provorov V. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
03:46, 5 - 0, Ula G. (G), Henderson R. (A), Smith B. (A2)
07:02, 5 - 1, Lombardi J. (G), Podrekar U. (A),
09:57, 5 - 2, Battaglia J. (G), Fellinger R. (A), He K. (A2)
15:08, 6 - 2, Nemec A. (G), Lemieux J. (A), Gonchar A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:33, 7 - 2, Chovan J. (G), Lemieux J. (A), Nemec A. (A2)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 4.
Sudbury has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Flint's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Flint has had a series of home games.
In this match, Flint is considered a favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 63:56. (average 3.9:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sudbury won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 4.8:3.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Sudbury Wolves - the odds 3.68 are the expected chance of winning is 24.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bronas B. (G) 
Vaccari M. (G) 
Chovan J. 
Gonchar A. 
Pazii I. 
Podrekar U. (A) 
Uljanskis D. 
Rheaume C. 
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