The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guelph Storm 55.2%
Draw 19.7%
Sudbury Wolves 25.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.5%
20.4%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
21.8%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Sudbury Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guelph Storm that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Guelph Storm - Sudbury Wolves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
31. Bronas B. (G)
86. Avery J.
93. Blonda L.
17. Babin P.
26. Chovan J. (A)
15. Bartovic A.
11. Dean E.
8. Carscadden A.
84. Gonchar A.
22. Czata E. (A)
22. Greene N.
29. Dravecky V.
51. Harris K.
3. Frossard E.
77. Henderson R. (A)
10. Griffin O.
2. Kearns F.
91. Hopkins T.
73. Kwajah K.
14. Jenken N.
18. Ladds L.
19. Kazda T.
66. Lemieux J. (A)
28. Kucher C.
27. Martin H.
25. Roobroeck R.
71. Nemec A.
81. Shybinskyi I.
97. Provorov V.
21. Spada G. (A)
96. Smith P.
96. Stevens C.
88. Ula G.
12. Topp R. (C)
86. Walker M.
77. Wycisk J.
5. Wreggitt C.
Substitutes
62. Hrebik B. (G)
29. Frasca P. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
06:54, 0 - 1, Smith P. (G),
12:08, 0 - 2, Walker M. (G), Provorov V. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:35, 1 - 2, Roobroeck R. (G), Czata E. (A), Dravecky V. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 0)
06:30, 2 - 2, Griffin O. (G), Jovanovski Z. (A),
11:18, 3 - 2, Shybinskyi I. (G),
14:40, 4 - 2, Hopkins T. (G), Dravecky V. (A),
15:22, 5 - 2, Stevens C. (G),
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 2.
Guelph has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Sudbury have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Guelph could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Guelph is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guelph has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:80 (averaging 3.3:4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guelph against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 34:37 goals (averaging 3.4:3.7 per game).
Watch
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Jovanovski Z. (G) 
Bronas B. (G) 
Chovan J. (A) 
Bartovic A. 
Gonchar A. 
Shybinskyi I. 
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