Match Info

NCAA - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	North Dakota Fighting Hawks		Merrimack Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.6	3.95
	1.48	5.14	4.93
	1.43	5	5.29	Watch
	1.53	4.1	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 (1.51)	4.71 ↑ (3.6)	4.53 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Dakota Fighting Hawks
60.5%

Draw
19.3%

Merrimack Warriors
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

22.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

22.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Dakota Fighting Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Dakota Fighting Hawks's performance.

Merrimack Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Dakota Fighting Hawks than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Dakota Fighting Hawks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

North Dakota Fighting Hawks - Merrimack Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:52, 1 - 0, Croal C. (G), Zellers W. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
04:09, 2 - 0, James D. (G), Rickwood E. (A),
20', 3 - 0, (G),

Preview

Recent performances by North Dakota have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Merrimack is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

North Dakota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, North Dakota has had a series of home games.

In this match, North Dakota is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

North Dakota Fighting Hawks: 5.92% Merrimack Warriors: 1.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Dakota Fighting Hawks hockey
NCAA Hockey
14.03.26	North Dakota Fighting Hawks - Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs	1:5 ✺
08.03.26	North Dakota Fighting Hawks - Omaha Mavericks	5:1 ✺
07.03.26	North Dakota Fighting Hawks - Omaha Mavericks	5:1 ✺
06.03.26	North Dakota Fighting Hawks - Omaha Mavericks	5:3 ✺
28.02.26	Western Michigan Broncos - North Dakota Fighting Hawks	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWL
- Merrimack Warriors hockey
NCAA Hockey
21.03.26	Connecticut Huskies - Merrimack Warriors	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Massachusetts Minutemen - Merrimack Warriors	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Providence Friars - Merrimack Warriors	2:3 OT ✺
11.03.26	Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks	5:3 ✺
05.03.26	Merrimack Warriors - UMass Lowell River Hawks	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.1 WWWWW

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