Match Info

Date: 15 January 2022, Saturday


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Dornbirn

	1	X	2
	1.53	5	4.3
	1.53	5	4.5	Watch
	1.52	4.75	4.3
	1.56	5	4.8
	1.53	5.05	4.26
	1.53	5	4.33
	1.55	4.95	4.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	4.96 ↓ (5.11)	4.44 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
60.4%

Draw
18.7%

Dornbirn
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

18.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

12.8%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Dornbirn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpija Ljubljana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dornbirn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimpija Ljubljana - Dornbirn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

The competitors look crappy now.

Olimpija could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Olimpija have a series of guest games.

In this match Olimpija is a favorite.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Olimpija won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 24 matches and goals 68-115.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpija won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 40-49.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Olimpija Ljubljana
Austrian Ice Hockey League
14.01.22	Graz 99ers - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:1 ✺
30.12.21	Olimpija Ljubljana - EC KAC	1:5 ✺
28.12.21	Villacher - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:2 ✺
26.12.21	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:2 ✺
19.12.21	Villacher - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW
- Dornbirn EC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
06.01.22	Bolzano - Dornbirn	4:3 OT ✺
04.01.22	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Dornbirn	5:2 ✺
30.12.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Dornbirn	3:1 ✺
28.12.21	Dornbirn - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	5:0 ✺
26.12.21	Dornbirn - Bolzano	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
04.12.21	Olimpija Ljubljana - Dornbirn	1:3
24.10.21	Dornbirn - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:4
04.02.17	Olimpija Ljubljana - Dornbirn	0:4
02.02.17	Dornbirn - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:3 penalties
06.01.17	Olimpija Ljubljana - Dornbirn	2:4
12.12.16	Dornbirn - Olimpija Ljubljana	7:2
24.10.16	Olimpija Ljubljana - Dornbirn	2:3

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