Match Info

VHL

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Olimp-Arena (Kirovo-Chepetsk)


	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk		Kristall Saratov

	1	X	2
	2.13	3.85	2.97
	2.24	3.8	2.78	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.42)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)	2.82 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
41.5%

Draw
25.2%

Kristall Saratov
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.7%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

26.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Kristall Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk - Kristall Saratov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kirovo-Chepetsk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Kuzin A. S. (G)	30. Yeryomenko M. (G)
91. Lyakhov A.	83. Boldyrev D.
55. Vanin D.	74. Perelyavev S.
61. Valitsky I.	78. Chufarov A.
26. Fischenko I. (C)	71. Polshakov Z.
11. Kolgotin D. (A)	89. Larichev I.
Line 2
36. Aksyonov A.	32. Semeneko M. (C)
79. Gusev M. M.	92. Vyalov F.
60. Gareyev A.	21. Chervontsev N.
25. Pikov M.	29. Krasnov I.
34. Ponomaryov T.	69. Filin F.
Line 3
18. Tolpegin D.	8. Yegorov Y.
4. Fedotov A. (A)	24. Koryagin V.
63. Valeyev A.	9. Balabolkin I.
14. Drobin A.	23. Kormilov D.
21. Ovechkin D.	91. Podorozhnikov A.
Line 4
98. Krikunov V.	97. Osadchy V.
47. Bychkov M.	19. Gusev A.
22. Rozhkovsky A.	61. Kulagin A.
15. Novokshenov I.	25. Shcherbatov A.
75. Minnekhanov B.	51. Asylayev N.
Substitutes
82. Golovlev V. (G)	1. Grischenko A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
16:06, 0 - 1, Polshakov Z. (G), Boldyrev D. (A), Kormilov D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:02, 1 - 1, Pikov M. (G), Ovechkin D. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
09:27, 1 - 2, Polshakov Z. (G), Chufarov A. (A),
12:06, 2 - 2, Valeyev A. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Novokshenov I. (Penalty Shot),
1, Larichev I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kolgotin D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Filin F. (Penalty Shot),
3, Valeyev A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Chervontsev N. (Penalty Shot),
4, Ponomaryov T. (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Kristall Saratov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kristall Saratov has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Kristall Saratov - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.64%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
VHL
26.09.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizel Penza	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Ryazan	2:3 OT ✺
22.09.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - AKM	2:1 penalties ✺
18.09.25	Izhstal - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:0 ✺
16.09.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL
- Kristall Saratov
VHL
24.09.25	Kristall Saratov - Gornyak-UGMK	2:6 ✺
22.09.25	Kristall Saratov - Chelmet	2:5 ✺
20.09.25	Kristall Saratov - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:1 OT ✺
18.09.25	Kristall Saratov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Kristall Saratov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.12.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Kristall Saratov	2:1
04.12.24	Kristall Saratov - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:2

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