Match Info

VHL

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Olimp-Arena (Kirovo-Chepetsk)


	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	3.84	4.18	1.75
	4.17	4.15	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.28)	4.17 ↑ (3.7)	1.73 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
23.3%

Draw
22.4%

Dizel Penza
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

25.2%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.3%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk - Dizel Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Kuzin A. S. (G)	27. Arzamastsev A. (G)
4. Fedotov A. (A)	83. Sukhov S.
91. Lyakhov A.	6. Lukichyov A.
61. Valitsky I.	23. Sidlyarov D. (C)
25. Pikov M.	47. Bobylyov V.
34. Ponomaryov T.	10. Popov D.
Line 2
3. Yepishin M.	68. Rudakov G.
55. Vanin D.	75. Pogorishny O. (A)
22. Rozhkovsky A.	17. Shiksatdarov I.
26. Fischenko I. (C)	11. Makhanovsky P. (A)
11. Kolgotin D. (A)	71. Kolmykov M.
Line 3
18. Tolpegin D.	25. Kulikovskiy A.
79. Gusev M. M.	49. Denisevich B.
63. Valeyev A.	41. Lukin V.
14. Drobin A.	19. Ryzhkov M.
21. Ovechkin D.	97. Borisenkov A.
Line 4
98. Krikunov V.	98. Lyulko V.
36. Aksyonov A.	34. Larichev V.
13. Appelgants V.	69. Boluchevsky A.
15. Novokshenov I.	13. Zakirov T.
75. Minnekhanov B.
Substitutes
48. Kuznetsov G. (G)	31. Kudashev D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
19:48, 0 - 1, Makhanovsky P. (G), Kolmykov M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:30, 1 - 1, Valeyev A. (G), Ovechkin D. (A),
17:34, 1 - 2, Sidlyarov D. (G), Kolmykov M. (A), Popov D. (A2)

Preview

Kirovo-Chepetsk is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Dizel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dizel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dizel has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dizel is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.5:4.5).

Including home match between the teams, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - the odds 4.28 are the expected chance of winning is 21.79%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
VHL
24.09.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Ryazan	2:3 OT ✺
22.09.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - AKM	2:1 penalties ✺
18.09.25	Izhstal - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:0 ✺
16.09.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Molot Perm - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Dizel Penza
VHL
22.09.25	Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Dizel Penza - Chelmet	6:1 ✺
18.09.25	Dizel Penza - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:8 ✺
16.09.25	Dizel Penza - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:0 ✺
11.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.12.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizel Penza	1:2
30.11.24	Dizel Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	7:0

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