Match Info

VHL

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Kristall Ice Sports Palace (Saratov)


	Kristall Saratov		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	4.46	4.35	1.6
	5.58	4.76	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↑ (4.26)	4.56 ↑ (4.25)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristall Saratov
18.6%

Draw
20.5%

Gornyak-UGMK
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristall Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gornyak-UGMK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kristall Saratov - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Grischenko A. (G)	30. Novosyolov N. (G)
74. Perelyavev S.	4. Bolshakov M.
83. Boldyrev D.	72. Trofimov Y.
13. Novruzov R.	96. Miller N.
71. Polshakov Z.	10. Filyayev V.
23. Kormilov D.	80. Demidovich V.
Line 2
32. Semeneko M. (C)	23. Gamzakov M.
92. Vyalov F.	92. Valitov D. (A)
21. Chervontsev N.	70. Alexeyev Y.
29. Krasnov I.	14. Makhrin M.
69. Filin F.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 3
8. Yegorov Y.	3. Zubarev A.
24. Koryagin V.	90. Nekrasov N.
9. Balabolkin I.	32. Borisov S.
10. Koreshkov P.	29. Khremkin K.
91. Podorozhnikov A.	63. Isayev D.
Line 4
19. Gusev A.	95. Dumchenko N.
61. Kulagin A.	22. Molodtsov D.
25. Shcherbatov A.	18. Sushchev V.
51. Asylayev N.	13. Zaytsev O. (C)
	56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
Substitutes
30. Yeryomenko M. (G)	20. Obvintsev T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
05:35, 0 - 1, Ovchinnikov I. (G), Zaytsev O. (A), Dumchenko N. (A2)
16:56, 0 - 2, Makhrin M. (G), Lukhovskoy N. (A), Alexeyev Y. (A2)
18:00, 0 - 3, Filyayev V. (G), Trofimov Y. (A), Demidovich V. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
04:21, 1 - 3, Kulagin A. (G), Shcherbatov A. (A), Asylayev N. (A2)
13:12, 1 - 4, Demidovich V. (G), Nekrasov N. (A), Miller N. (A2)
17:59, 1 - 5, Dumchenko N. (G), Ovchinnikov I. (A), Sushchev V. (A2)
19:09, 1 - 6, Borisov S. (G), Demidovich V. (A), Khremkin K. (A2)
19:48, 2 - 6, Chervontsev N. (G), Boldyrev D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Kristall Saratov has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kristall Saratov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 2.3:4.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kristall Saratov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 2.5:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Kristall Saratov - the odds 4.26 are the expected chance of winning is 21.96%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristall Saratov
VHL
22.09.25	Kristall Saratov - Chelmet	2:5 ✺
20.09.25	Kristall Saratov - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:1 OT ✺
18.09.25	Kristall Saratov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Kristall Saratov	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Khimik - Kristall Saratov	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLLWL
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
22.09.25	Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ryazan - Gornyak-UGMK	5:2 ✺
18.09.25	AKM - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Izhstal	4:0 ✺
12.09.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.02.25	Kristall Saratov - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT
02.10.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Kristall Saratov	4:2
08.12.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Kristall Saratov	6:2
06.11.23	Kristall Saratov - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 penalties

Kristall Saratov - Gornyak-UGMK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide