Match Info

VHL

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Sports Palace (Tyumen)


	Rubin Tyumen		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.57	2.6
	2.38	3.84	2.58	Watch
	2.4	3.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)	3.72 ↓ (3.73)	2.61 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Tyumen
39.2%

Draw
25.1%

Dizel Penza
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

25.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

25.1%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Rubin Tyumen - Dizel Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)	31. Kudashev D. (G)
11. Popov Y.	68. Rudakov G.
12. Lyutov D.	75. Pogorishny O. (A)
9. Ivanov S.	17. Shiksatdarov I.
10. Petrakov I.	11. Makhanovsky P. (A)
80. Koshurnikov K.	10. Popov D.
Line 2
28. Tsyganov D.	7. Spitsenko K.
93. Vashchenko N.	6. Lukichyov A.
27. Davydov D.	23. Sidlyarov D. (C)
22. Babenko Y.	47. Bobylyov V.
23. Lazarev M.	71. Kolmykov M.
Line 3
55. Stikhanovsky M.	98. Lyulko V.
35. Vdovin Y.	83. Sukhov S.
43. Voronkov P.	41. Lukin V.
57. Kanitsky Y.	95. Pochivalov D.
8. Bryutov N.	97. Borisenkov A.
Line 4
76. Kartashov A.	54. Filippov T.
3. Ivanov Y. D.	69. Boluchevsky A.
85. Styozhkin I.	87. Karapetyan D.
78. Meshkov P.	73. Latypov G.
Substitutes
1. Gromovik Y. (G)	1. Tsiulin D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:12, 1 - 0, Lazarev M. (G), Stikhanovsky M. (A), Davydov D. (A2)
16:26, 1 - 1, Lukichyov A. (G), Popov D. (A), Makhanovsky P. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:04, 2 - 1, Davydov D. (G), Petrakov I. (A), Koshurnikov K. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:48, 3 - 1, Lazarev M. (G), Babenko Y. (A), Ivanov S. (A2)
08:43, 3 - 2, Bobylyov V. (G), Sidlyarov D. (A),
18:47, 4 - 2, Ivanov S. (G), Vashchenko N. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Rubin has had a series of away games.

Recently, Dizel has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 49:53. (average 2.5:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 2.6:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
09.12.25	Rubin Tyumen - Kristall Saratov	3:4 ✺
03.12.25	AKM - Rubin Tyumen	3:4 penalties ✺
01.12.25	Ryazan - Rubin Tyumen	1:2 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	6:3 ✺
27.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Rubin Tyumen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW
- Dizel Penza
VHL
09.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Dizel Penza	1:4 ✺
03.12.25	Dizel Penza - Omskie Krylia	0:4 ✺
01.12.25	Dizel Penza - Zauralie Kurgan	1:0 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	6:3 ✺
27.11.25	Dizel Penza - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
29.11.25	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	6:3
20.01.25	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	3:1
03.11.24	Rubin Tyumen - Dizel Penza	4:1
09.01.24	Rubin Tyumen - Dizel Penza	2:3 OT
14.10.23	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	1:9
21.01.23	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 OT
03.10.22	Rubin Tyumen - Dizel Penza	4:5 penalties

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