The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rubin Tyumen 28.2%
Draw 23.7%
Dizel Penza 48.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.2%
23.9%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
25%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rubin Tyumen's form might have worsened.
Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dizel Penza's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rubin Tyumen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dizel Penza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Rubin Tyumen - Dizel Penza Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
17:46, 0 - 2, Bobylyov V. (G), Dryagilev A. (A), Bain M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:29, 1 - 2, Kanitsky Y. (G), Kukhno A. (A), Reshetko M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:54, 2 - 2, Kolesnikov S. (G), Loza I. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:05, 2 - 3, Nikitin Y. (G), Borisenkov A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2.
Rubin is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Dizel has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Rubin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Rubin in today's match, at odds of 2.4.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rubin has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:53 (averaging 2.5:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rubin against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 27:28 goals (averaging 2.7:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
19
Rubin Tyumen
18
3
5
2
8
40:49
18
26
Dizel
17
3
3
2
9
33:42
14
Last Results with these Odds
Rubin Tyumen - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.
Dizel Penza - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.85%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.
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Yunin I. (G) 
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