Match Info

VHL

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Mostovik Arena (Kurgan)


	Zauralie Kurgan		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	2.34	3.56	2.65
	2.36	3.78	2.61	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.52)	3.65 ↓ (3.82)	2.67 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zauralie Kurgan
39.4%

Draw
25.6%

Dizel Penza
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

24.5%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

24.4%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Zauralie Kurgan - Dizel Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Gorbunov I. (G)	31. Kudashev D. (G)
43. Ugolnikov A. (C)	54. Filippov T.
61. Kozhemyakin G.	75. Pogorishny O. (A)
11. Ryzhov K.	17. Shiksatdarov I.
78. Komaristy A. (A)	11. Makhanovsky P. (A)
74. Govorkov M.	71. Kolmykov M.
Line 2
77. Belyakov F. (A)	68. Rudakov G.
67. Vasilyev K.	7. Spitsenko K.
99. Kolesnikov S.	23. Sidlyarov D. (C)
93. Kozlov I.	47. Bobylyov V.
13. Ugolnikov A.	97. Borisenkov A.
Line 3
3. Shikun A.	83. Sukhov S.
48. Denisevich B.	98. Lyulko V.
87. Nizovtsev S.	41. Lukin V.
34. Tagirov K.	95. Pochivalov D.
24. Smirnov N.	10. Popov D.
Line 4
16. Avvakumov I.	34. Larichev V.
97. Bogdanov A.	78. Balashov M.
12. Kovyazin I.	87. Karapetyan D.
7. Baldayev D.	69. Boluchevsky A.
Substitutes
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)	27. Arzamastsev A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:46, 0 - 1, Boluchevsky A. (G), Filippov T. (A), Balashov M. (A2)
11:08, 1 - 1, Ugolnikov A. (G), Ryzhov K. (A), Komaristy A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:59, 1 - 2, Pochivalov D. (G), Borisenkov A. (A), Sidlyarov D. (A2)
05:52, 1 - 3, Popov D. (G), Spitsenko K. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 3.

Zauralie is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dizel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zauralie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zauralie has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 46:36. (average 2.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zauralie won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 2.4:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Dizel Penza - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
11.12.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Kristall Saratov	1:4 ✺
05.12.25	AKM - Zauralie Kurgan	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Ryazan - Zauralie Kurgan	0:2 ✺
01.12.25	Dizel Penza - Zauralie Kurgan	1:0 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLL
- Dizel Penza
VHL
11.12.25	Rubin Tyumen - Dizel Penza	4:2 ✺
09.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Dizel Penza	1:4 ✺
03.12.25	Dizel Penza - Omskie Krylia	0:4 ✺
01.12.25	Dizel Penza - Zauralie Kurgan	1:0 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Dizel Penza - Rubin Tyumen	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
01.12.25	Dizel Penza - Zauralie Kurgan	1:0 penalties
24.01.25	Dizel Penza - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 penalties
30.10.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Dizel Penza	3:1
24.11.23	Dizel Penza - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 OT
18.11.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Dizel Penza	3:2 OT
26.11.22	Dizel Penza - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3
21.11.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Dizel Penza	1:3

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