Match Info

VHL

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)


	Gornyak-UGMK		Omskie Krylia

	1	X	2
	2.44	3.87	2.4
	2.33	3.85	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.36)	3.86 ↓ (3.88)	2.51 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
38.9%

Draw
24%

Omskie Krylia
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

24%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.4%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Omskie Krylia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omskie Krylia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Gornyak UGMK - Omskie Krylia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Obvintsev T. (G)	94. Yaroslavlev Y. (G)
91. Malorosiyanov D.	76. Stepanov D.
72. Trofimov Y.	42. Petrishchev R. (C)
96. Miller N.	93. Malov V.
13. Zaytsev O. (C)	78. Leuka P.
80. Demidovich V.	88. Stepanov Y.
Line 2
23. Gamzakov M.	57. Pavlikov M.
92. Valitov D. (A)	5. Chaika D.
56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)	11. Anokhovsky N.
14. Makhrin M.	47. Loktev A.
44. Lukhovskoy N.	44. Kozhevnikov K.
Line 3
16. Myslyayev S.	36. Myasishchev I. (A)
3. Zubarev A.	75. Yegorov A.
79. Tarasov M.	86. Kozhukhov Y.
18. Sushchev V.	91. Protapovich A. (A)
59. Razdyakonov V.	66. Andreyev S.
Line 4
4. Bolshakov M.	82. Murylev A.
95. Dumchenko N.	26. Krivonozhkin M.
29. Khremkin K.	97. Kozhukhov I.
10. Filyayev V.	25. Zlodeyev D.
32. Borisov S.	77. Zaikin A.
Substitutes
93. Romashkin P. (G)	79. Kiselyov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:17, 0 - 1, Kozhevnikov K. (G), Loktev A. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:15, 1 - 1, Valitov D. (G), Borisov S. (A), Gamzakov M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:21, 1 - 2, Stepanov D. (G), Malov V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 3.

Recent performances by Gornyak-UGMK have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Omskie Krylia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 3:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.52%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Omskie Krylia - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.44%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
11.11.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Zauralie Kurgan	4:3 ✺
09.11.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Rubin Tyumen	4:1 ✺
07.11.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Buran Voronezh - Gornyak-UGMK	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLW
- Omskie Krylia
VHL
11.11.25	Chelmet - Omskie Krylia	6:0 ✺
09.11.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Omskie Krylia	1:2 OT ✺
07.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Omskie Krylia	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Omskie Krylia - Torpedo-Gorky	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Omskie Krylia - Khimik	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
30.01.25	Omskie Krylia - Gornyak-UGMK	2:4
21.10.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Omskie Krylia	2:3
22.01.24	Omskie Krylia - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3
26.09.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Omskie Krylia	2:1 OT
20.01.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Omskie Krylia	1:0
05.10.22	Omskie Krylia - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1
08.02.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Omskie Krylia	4:3

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