Match Info

VHL

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mostovik Arena (Kurgan)


	Zauralie Kurgan		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	2.09	3.66	2.98
	2.17	4.03	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.14)	3.85 ↓ (3.96)	2.88 (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zauralie Kurgan
43.6%

Draw
24.2%

Molot Perm
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

23.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

23.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zauralie Kurgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Zauralie Kurgan - Molot Perm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)	90. Guskov Y. (G)
67. Vasilyev K.	42. Labutkin Y.
79. Isayev I. (C)	44. Yerokhin A. (C)
99. Kolesnikov S.	34. Mikhasyonok V.
78. Komaristy A. (A)	10. Plastinin V. (A)
87. Nizovtsev S.	81. Galimzyanov R.
Line 2
3. Shikun A.	9. Pirogov I.
77. Belyakov F. (A)	16. Averin N.
13. Ugolnikov A.	15. Zenchikov I.
93. Kozlov I.	61. Polyakov V.
17. Lipanov A.	51. Kitsyn M. (A)
Line 3
61. Kozhemyakin G.	86. Zaitsev D.
16. Avvakumov I.	55. Kozhevnikov A.
11. Ryzhov K.	72. Arzhanov D.
34. Tagirov K.	71. Kolesnikov Y.
7. Baldayev D.	92. Kazakov M.
Line 4
66. Pasmanik L.	59. Sokolov N.
97. Bogdanov A.	11. Lapin D.
98. Govorkov R.	13. Yabelov D.
24. Smirnov N.	17. Yarashev A.
Substitutes
30. Yeryomin I. (G)	40. Gorshkov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
07:12, 1 - 0, Govorkov R. (G), Bogdanov A. (A),
11:55, 2 - 0, Kozlov I. (G), Ugolnikov A. (A), Lipanov A. (A2)
15:20, 3 - 0, Kozlov I. (G), Ugolnikov A. (A), Isayev I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:12, 3 - 1, Labutkin Y. (G), Polyakov V. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
08:20, 3 - 2, Kozhevnikov A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Molot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zauralie has had a series of away games.

Zauralie might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 49:54. (average 2.5:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Zauralie won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 2.3:2.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.79%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Molot Perm - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.54%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
17.11.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:3 OT ✺
11.11.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Zauralie Kurgan	4:3 ✺
09.11.25	Chelmet - Zauralie Kurgan	3:4 OT ✺
07.11.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2 penalties ✺
05.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLW
- HC Molot Perm
VHL
17.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Molot Perm	3:2 penalties ✺
15.11.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Molot Perm	3:0 ✺
10.11.25	Molot Perm - Buran Voronezh	3:2 penalties ✺
08.11.25	Molot Perm - Rostov	5:0 ✺
06.11.25	Molot Perm - Tambov	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
02.03.25	Molot Perm - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2
20.09.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Molot Perm	1:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
18.08.24	Molot Perm - Zauralie Kurgan	6:2
VHL
12.02.24	Molot Perm - Zauralie Kurgan	2:5
08.09.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Molot Perm	2:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.23	Molot Perm - Zauralie Kurgan	0:2
VHL
13.02.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Molot Perm	1:3

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