The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Omskye Yastreby 33.5%
Draw 24.9%
MHC Spartak 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
22.9%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
22.5%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Omskye Yastreby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omskye Yastreby's form might have worsened.
MHC Spartak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MHC Spartak's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omskye Yastreby than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omskye Yastreby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MHC Spartak than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MHC Spartak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Omskye Yastreby - MHC Spartak Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
55. Yunin I. (G)
30. Kuzmenko Y. (G)
26. Krivonozhkin M.
34. Belyakov Y.
22. Moiseyev M.
53. Tyurin N. (A)
23. Levchenko L.
54. Rybenok S. (C)
10. Kharionov N.
10. Yakunin Y. (A)
12. Korzin V.
95. Sysoyev D.
Line 2
6. Stepanov S. (A)
9. Babkin I.
4. Chernochub P.
57. Ukhmylov V.
27. Kuryanov A.
16. Filimonov M.
73. Kazantsev R. (C)
15. Seldemirov M.
72. Malov D.
19. Plesovskikh A.
Line 3
67. Mudrik Y.
77. Beny Y.
33. Zavadsky A.
49. Dronov N.
87. Burlaka G.
81. Kochurov D.
18. Laman R.
38. Kotlyarov I.
30. Sklokin M.
7. Ilyin A.
Line 4
45. Krivko A.
22. Malkov A.
21. Grigoryev I.
28. Rakcheyev N.
98. Safin R.
13. Bykov A.
93. Moruzhov D. (A)
39. Savelyev T.
24. Kosenko B.
Substitutes
31. Ivchenko D. (G)
50. Ivanov Y. (G)
71. Vasilyev D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
04:29, 1 - 0, Safin R. (G), Grigoryev I. (A), Sklokin M. (A2)
14:24, 2 - 0, Burlaka G. (G), Laman R. (A),
17:02, 2 - 1, Kotlyarov I. (G), Filimonov M. (A), Rybenok S. (A2)
18:40, 2 - 2, Bykov A. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
10:30, 3 - 2, Levchenko L. (G), Kharionov N. (A),
13:34, 3 - 3, Kotlyarov I. (G), Rakcheyev N. (A), Beny Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:50, 3 - 4, Plesovskikh A. (G), Belyakov Y. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omskye Yastreby won 2.
Omskye Yastreby is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
MHC Spartak is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
MHC Spartak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Omskye Yastreby has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that MHC Spartak will win today's game, with odds of 2.54.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Omskye Yastreby won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 2.6:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Omskye Yastreby won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 4:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Omskye Yastreby - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.08%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Yunin I. (G) 
Stepanov S. (A) 
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