Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday


	Villacher		Orli Znojmo

	1	X	2
	1.9	4.75	2.8
	1.87	4.5	3.1	Watch
	1.91	4.25	2.95
	1.92	4.7	3.15
	1.89	4.58	3.16
	1.8	5	2.7
	1.91	4.6	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)	4.63 ↑ (4.45)	2.99 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villacher
49.1%

Draw
20%

Orli Znojmo
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

20.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

16.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Orli Znojmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villacher, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orli Znojmo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orli Znojmo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	5.3%	15.8%

Villacher - Orli Znojmo Predictions

Users Predictions: Villacher will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Villach is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Orli Znojmo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villach could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Orli Znojmo have a series of home games.

Villach will have a mini benefit in this match.

Villach will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 46 head-to-head matches Villach won 23 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 23 matches and goals 139-147.

Including matches at home between the teams Villach won 16 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 84-58.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villacher SV Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
01.02.22	Olimpija Ljubljana - Villacher	2:4 ✺
30.01.22	Black Wings Linz - Villacher	5:7 ✺
28.01.22	Villacher - Red Bull Salzburg	2:4 ✺
25.01.22	EC KAC - Villacher	6:0 ✺
23.01.22	Vienna Capitals - Villacher	Villach awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLL?
- Orli Znojmo
Austrian Ice Hockey League
01.02.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Orli Znojmo	3:1 ✺
30.01.22	Orli Znojmo - Bolzano	5:2 ✺
28.01.22	Black Wings Linz - Orli Znojmo	0:3 ✺
26.01.22	Fehérvár AV 19 - Orli Znojmo	7:1 ✺
14.01.22	Orli Znojmo - Black Wings Linz	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
15.10.21	Orli Znojmo - Villacher	2:5
03.10.21	Villacher - Orli Znojmo	6:1
21.02.20	Villacher - Orli Znojmo	2:1 OT
14.02.20	Orli Znojmo - Villacher	2:4
19.01.20	Villacher - Orli Znojmo	4:3
06.12.19	Orli Znojmo - Villacher	3:0
29.11.19	Villacher - Orli Znojmo	3:5

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