Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Merkur-Eisstadion (Graz)


	Graz 99ers		Villacher

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.5	5
	1.53	4.7	4.7
	1.55	5.01	4.96
	1.49	5.07	5.01	Watch
	1.4	4.8	5
	1.43	4.95	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.53)	5.01 ↑ (4.7)	5 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Graz 99ers
63%

Draw
18.5%

Villacher
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Graz 99ers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Graz 99ers than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Graz 99ers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Graz 99ers - Villacher Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Graz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Graz (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Graz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Lagace M. (G)	35. Cannata J. (G)
4. Holzer K.	77. Lindner P.
5. Kotkansalo K.	95. Katic M.
22. Conley K.	26. van Nes G.
64. Currie J.	16. Hancock K.
23. Roy K.	74. Teasdale J.
Line 2
7. Bailen N.	2. MacPherson D.
3. Hora F.	42. Wall A.
55. Swaney N.	40. Wallenta E.
21. Haudum L.	13. Helewka A.
52. Huber P.	22. Scherbak N.
Line 3
20. Brunner N.	10. Vallant T.
18. Stapelfeldt P.	71. Strong S.
17. Ganahl M.	72. Hughes J.
13. Schiechl M.	12. Budgell B.
10. Collins C.	8. Rebernig M.
Line 4
15. Braun L.	43. Raspotnig J.
70. Lippitsch J.	34. Prodinger D.
74. Feldner N.	46. Sintschnig P.
28. Moosbrugger L.	14. Tschurnig J.
40. Harnisch T.	65. Kernberger M.
Substitutes
30. Wieser N. (G)	37. Swette R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
10:18, 1 - 0, Swaney N. (G), Roy K. (A), Bailen N. (A2)
13:30, 2 - 0, Huber P. (G), Haudum L. (A), Swaney N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:52, 2 - 1, Wall A. (G), Hancock K. (A), MacPherson D. (A2)
15:04, 3 - 1, Kotkansalo K. (G), Currie J. (A), Bailen N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
20', 4 - 1, (G),

Preview

Graz 99ers leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Graz won 5.

Graz has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Villach has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Villach may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Graz is a strong favorite.

We predict that Graz will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Graz won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 57:63. (average 2.9:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Graz won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:42. (average 2.6:3.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Villach	8	3	1	1	3	23:25	12
9	Graz99ers	9	2	2	2	3	23:27	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Graz 99ers
Austrian Ice Hockey League
12.03.26	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:5 ✺
10.03.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	2:1 OT ✺
01.03.26	Black Wings Linz - Graz 99ers	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Vienna Capitals - Graz 99ers	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Villacher SV Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
12.03.26	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:5 ✺
10.03.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	2:1 OT ✺
06.03.26	Black Wings Linz - Villacher	1:5 ✺
04.03.26	Villacher - Black Wings Linz	2:1 OT ✺
01.03.26	Villacher - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
12.03.26	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:5
10.03.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	2:1 OT
27.02.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	2:0
30.12.25	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:4
17.10.25	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:6
28.09.25	Graz 99ers - Villacher	3:4
22.12.24	Villacher - Graz 99ers	2:1

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