Match Info

OHL

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Tribute Communities Centre (Oshawa, ON)


	Oshawa Generals		Sarnia Sting

	1	X	2
	3.14	5.13	1.79
	3.03	4.55	1.86	Watch
	3.10	5.05	1.77
	3.20	4.30	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.97)	4.76 ↑ (4.43)	1.79 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oshawa Generals
29.4%

Draw
19.3%

Sarnia Sting
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

20.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

22.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oshawa Generals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sarnia Sting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oshawa Generals than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarnia Sting, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oshawa Generals - Sarnia Sting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Cholette J. (G)	31. Osipenko K. (G)
16. Blaseg B.	6. Aucoin C. (A)
98. Cloutier K.	18. Campbell D.
5. Diplacido L.	84. Challenger T.
12. Franssen H. (C)	17. Di Iorio A. (C)
7. Funck L.	23. Dunn M.
37. Hedley R.	41. Emerton C. (A)
21. Hinde T.	71. Gaughan C.
28. Huyck B.	26. Hawery L.
78. Kalto O.	53. Holmes P.
86. Laschon L.	9. Jaworski S.
18. Malthaler J.	24. Katolicky S.
89. Mazzoni C.	93. Lammens B.
3. Murnane B. (A)	55. Manza M.
79. O'Donnell A.	43. Pickersgill L.
71. Roberts S.	8. Sewell C.
10. Rogowski B. (A)	2. Sgro A.
96. Taylor C.	14. Van Volsen J. (A)
11. Timmerman A.	11. Walos E.
Substitutes
72. Reznik C. (G)	34. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:45, 0 - 1, Walos E. (G), Emerton C. (A), Hawery L. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
05:01, 0 - 2, Walos E. (G), Holmes P. (A), Challenger T. (A2)
19:20, 0 - 3, Manza M. (G), Walos E. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oshawa won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Oshawa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Sarnia has had a run of games away from home.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sarnia holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Oshawa has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 82:73 (averaging 4.1:3.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oshawa against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 44:43 goals (averaging 4.4:4.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Oshawa Generals - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oshawa Generals
OHL
02.10.26	Oshawa Generals - Ottawa 67s	1:4
27.09.26	Oshawa Generals - Brantford Bulldogs	3:5 ✺
26.09.26	Barrie Colts - Oshawa Generals	2:4 ✺
25.09.26	Guelph Storm - Oshawa Generals	6:0 ✺
20.09.26	Oshawa Generals - North Bay Battalion	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLWLW
- Sarnia Sting
OHL
03.10.26	Barrie Colts - Sarnia Sting	5:3 ✺
02.10.26	Sarnia Sting - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	3:4 AET ✺
27.09.26	Ottawa 67s - Sarnia Sting	3:10 ✺
25.09.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Sarnia Sting	3:5 ✺
24.09.26	Peterborough Petes - Sarnia Sting	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
06.02.26	Oshawa Generals - Sarnia Sting	3:5
10.10.25	Sarnia Sting - Oshawa Generals	1:3
01.11.24	Oshawa Generals - Sarnia Sting	5:2
11.10.24	Sarnia Sting - Oshawa Generals	3:4 penalties
10.12.23	Sarnia Sting - Oshawa Generals	1:4
02.12.22	Sarnia Sting - Oshawa Generals	5:6 penalties
20.11.22	Oshawa Generals - Sarnia Sting	5:6 OT

Oshawa Generals - Sarnia Sting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide