The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ottawa 67s 42.1%
Draw 22.7%
Windsor Spitfires 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
22.9%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
21.4%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa 67s has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Windsor Spitfires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa 67s than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Nelson J. (G)
33. Costanzo J. (G)
26. Amidovski N.
61. Belchetz E.
23. Bewick C.
42. Brocklehurst M.
12. Bowes S.
5. Brown J.
17. Chitaroni B.
10. Costello S.
18. Dever J. (A)
44. Cristoforo A. (A)
4. Dietsch K.
78. Davis C.
34. Ekberg F.
53. Dubowsky C.
19. Eshkawkogan K.
77. Garden E.
29. Foster C. (A)
19. Gaymes N.
11. Kingwell S.
11. Harvey C.
9. Krawczyk B.
58. Hicks C.
22. Kuhta J.
2. Kennedy W. (A)
8. Marrelli F. (A)
22. Lemieux J.
13. Ruml O.
80. Makysh B.
37. Vandenberg T.
17. McLaughlin J.
10. Whitehead N.
71. Nesbitt J. (A)
21. White R.
28. Walton C.
16. Williams J.
24. Woodall C.
Substitutes
1. Fetterolf R. (G)
30. Newlove M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
04:34, 0 - 1, Woodall C. (G), Nesbitt J. (A),
12:45, 1 - 1, Amidovski N. (G), Chitaroni B. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:37, 2 - 1, Kuhta J. (G), Vandenberg T. (A), Marrelli F. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.
Ottawa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Windsor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Windsor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ottawa has had a series of home games.
Recently, Windsor has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 69:64. (average 3.5:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 3.9:3).
Last Results with these Odds
Ottawa 67s - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.1%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Windsor Spitfires - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.01%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.