Match Info

NHL

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ottawa Senators		Chicago Blackhawks

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.5	4.75	Watch
	1.65	4.72	4.24
	1.67	4.52	4.4
	1.65	4.52	4.4	Watch
	1.67	4.5	4.33
	1.64	4.73	4.43
	1.62	4.75	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.96)	4.61 ↑ (4.27)	4.41 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa Senators
57.8%

Draw
20.6%

Chicago Blackhawks
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

22.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

21.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ottawa Senators's performance.

Chicago Blackhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chicago Blackhawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ottawa Senators that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Blackhawks than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago Blackhawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

Ottawa Senators - Chicago Blackhawks Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Chicago will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Chicago (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Merilainen L. (G)	40. Soderblom A. (G)
2. Zub A.	46. Crevier L.
85. Sanderson J.	72. Vlasic A.
20. Zetterlund F.	28. Burakovsky A.
18. Stutzle T. (A)	91. Nazar F.
7. Tkachuk B. (C)	59. Bertuzzi T.
Line 2
10. Spence J.	55. Levshunov A.
43. Kleven T.	48. Grzelcyk M.
19. Batherson D.	95. Mikheyev I.
24. Cozens D.	16. Dickinson J. (A)
57. Perron D.	86. Teravainen T.
Line 3
3. Jensen N.	5. Murphy C. (A)
33. Matinpalo N.	44. Kaiser W.
28. Giroux C. (A)	76. Lardis N.
71. Greig R.	20. Greene R.
22. Amadio M.	11. Moore O.
Line 4
21. Cousins N.	8. Donato R.
83. Halliday S.	25. Toninato D.
23. MacDermid K.	34. Dach C.
Substitutes
35. Ullmark L. (G)	30. Knight S. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.	. Blashill J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:36, 1 - 0, Kleven T. (G), Stutzle T. (A),
06:36, (2 min),
12:47, Grzelcyk M. (2 min),
12:47, Stutzle T. (2 min),
14:36, (2 min),
19:27, Greene R. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 3)
01:53, 1 - 1, Mikheyev I. (G), Kaiser W. (A), Greene R. (A2)
07:29, (2 min),
08:02, 2 - 1, Stutzle T. (G),
08:53, Jensen N. (2 min),
09:55, 2 - 2, Burakovsky A. (G), Greene R. (A), Levshunov A. (A2)
14:07, 3 - 2, Tkachuk B. (G), Chabot T. (A),
18:32, 3 - 3, Mikheyev I. (G), Donato R. (A), Moore O. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
00:31, Dickinson J. (2 min),
01:45, 4 - 3, Perron D. (G), Giroux C. (A), Zetterlund F. (A2)
05:31, 5 - 3, Perron D. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Lycksell O. (A2)
07:17, 5 - 4, Lardis N. (G), Vlasic A. (A),
09:25, Levshunov A. (2 min),
16:10, 6 - 4, Zetterlund F. (G), Greig R. (A), Giroux C. (A2)
16:32, Zub A. (2 min),
16:32, Donato R. (2 min),
16:32, Donato R. (2 min),
16:32, Donato R. (Game Misconduct),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.

In recent matches, Ottawa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chicago's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ottawa is the team to beat.

There will not play in Ottawa: Chabot T. (Upper-Body Injury) Eller L. (Lower-Body Injury) Pinto S. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Chicago: Bedard C. (Shoulder Injury) Foligno N. (Hand Injury) Weber S. (Ankle Injury)

We predict that Ottawa will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 46:77. (average 2.3:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:36. (average 2.3:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 48.18%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Chicago Blackhawks - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 29.7%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa Senators
NHL
18.12.25	Ottawa Senators - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:0 ✺
15.12.25	Winnipeg Jets - Ottawa Senators	2:3 OT ✺
13.12.25	Minnesota Wild - Ottawa Senators	3:2 ✺
11.12.25	Columbus Blue Jackets - Ottawa Senators	3:6 ✺
09.12.25	Ottawa Senators - New Jersey Devils	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWL
- Chicago Blackhawks
NHL
18.12.25	Montreal Canadiens - Chicago Blackhawks	4:1 ✺
16.12.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Chicago Blackhawks	3:2 ✺
13.12.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Detroit Red Wings	0:4 ✺
12.12.25	St. Louis Blues - Chicago Blackhawks	3:2 ✺
10.12.25	Chicago Blackhawks - New York Rangers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
28.10.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Ottawa Senators	7:3
15.04.25	Ottawa Senators - Chicago Blackhawks	3:4 OT
05.03.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Ottawa Senators	3:4 OT
28.03.24	Ottawa Senators - Chicago Blackhawks	2:0
17.02.24	Chicago Blackhawks - Ottawa Senators	3:2
06.03.23	Chicago Blackhawks - Ottawa Senators	5:0
17.02.23	Ottawa Senators - Chicago Blackhawks	3:4 OT

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