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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 52.4%
Draw 21.8%
Chicago Blackhawks 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
21.2%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
19.6%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toronto Maple Leafs's performance.
Chicago Blackhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chicago Blackhawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Blackhawks than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
41.7%
25%
Toronto Maple Leafs - Chicago Blackhawks Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Chicago (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
60. Woll J. (G)
30. Knight S. (G)
2. Benoit S.
46. Crevier L.
44. Rielly M. (A)
72. Vlasic A.
88. Nylander W.
28. Burakovsky A.
34. Matthews A. (C)
91. Nazar F.
23. Knies M.
59. Bertuzzi T.
Line 2
28. Stecher T.
48. Grzelcyk M.
22. McCabe J.
44. Kaiser W.
74. McMann B.
95. Mikheyev I.
91. Tavares J. (A)
16. Dickinson J. (A)
89. Robertson N.
86. Teravainen T.
Line 3
8. Tanev C.
5. Murphy C. (A)
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
38. Del Mastro E.
11. Domi M.
76. Lardis N.
55. Roy N.
20. Greene R.
81. Joshua D.
11. Moore O.
Line 4
53. Cowan E.
8. Donato R.
24. Laughton S.
25. Toninato D.
18. Lorentz S.
34. Dach C.
Substitutes
35. Hildeby D. (G)
40. Soderblom A. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.
. Blashill J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
10:21, 0 - 1, Kaiser W. (G), Toninato D. (A),
14:28, Murphy C. (2 min),
14:58, 0 - 2, Dickinson J. (G), Mikheyev I. (A), Crevier L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
06:35, Joshua D. (2 min),
18:44, Vlasic A. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
09:59, 1 - 2, Ekman-Larsson O. (G), Matthews A. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
16:21, Toninato D. (2 min),
16:51, 2 - 2, Matthews A. (G), Nylander W. (A),
16:59, 3 - 2, Joshua D. (G), Stecher T. (A), McCabe J. (A2)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
Toronto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chicago has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
In this match, Toronto is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mermis D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Chicago: Bedard C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Foligno N.
(Hand Injury)
Weber S.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Illness)
Maccelli M.
(Illness)
Rifai M.
(Wrist Injury)
Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Woll J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 63:76. (average 3.2:3.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 3:3.4).
Brazil
Chile
Denmark
Finland
Germany
Iceland
Mexico
Norway
Spain
Sweden
United-kingdom
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
World
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Woll J. (G) 
Benoit S. 
Nylander W. 
Mikheyev I. 
Teravainen T. 
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