Match Info

NHL

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ottawa Senators		Edmonton Oilers

	1	X	2
	2.75	4	2.25	Watch
	2.73	4.4	2.18
	2.67	4.27	2.25
	2.67	4.39	2.19	Watch
	2.7	4.47	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.77)	4.31 ↓ (4.67)	2.23 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa Senators
35.2%

Draw
22.1%

Edmonton Oilers
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

20.8%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

20.1%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Edmonton Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Edmonton will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Edmonton: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Ullmark L. (G)	74. Skinner S. (G)
2. Zub A.	2. Bouchard E.
85. Sanderson J. (A)	14. Ekholm M.
19. Batherson D.	29. Draisaitl L. (A)
24. Cozens D.	97. McDavid C. (C)
18. Stutzle T.	92. Podkolzin V.
Line 2
3. Jensen N.	96. Walman J.
72. Chabot T. (A)	25. Nurse D. (A)
28. Giroux C. (A)	28. Roslovic J.
12. Pinto S.	93. Nugent-Hopkins R.
22. Amadio M.	88. Mangiapane A.
Line 3
33. Matinpalo N.	49. Emberson T.
43. Kleven T.	27. Kulak B.
57. Perron D.	10. Frederic T.
71. Greig R.	48. Philp N.
21. Cousins N.	22. Savoie M.
Line 4
15. Lycksell O.	86. Tomasek D.
89. Eller L.	19. Henrique A.
20. Zetterlund F.	53. Howard I.
Substitutes
40. Sogaard M. (G)	30. Pickard C. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.	. Knoblauch K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
07:41, Nurse D. (2 min),
15:51, Stutzle T. (2 min),
16:31, 0 - 1, McDavid C. (G), Nugent-Hopkins R. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
18:41, Howard I. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:49, 0 - 2, Howard I. (G), Draisaitl L. (A),
16:27, Batherson D. (2 min),
19:40, Nurse D. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:13, 1 - 2, Cozens D. (G), Batherson D. (A),
01:49, 2 - 2, Chabot T. (G), Perron D. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:25, Stutzle T. (2 min),
02:24, 2 - 3, Walman J. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 1.

Ottawa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Edmonton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Edmonton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Edmonton has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Ottawa: Tkachuk B. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Edmonton: Hyman Z. (Wrist Injury)

There are questionable in Edmonton: Janmark M. (Injury) Kapanen K. (Injury) Regula A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 53:82. (average 2.7:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 2.3:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.99%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa Senators
NHL
18.10.25	Ottawa Senators - New York Islanders	4:5 ✺
16.10.25	Ottawa Senators - Seattle Kraken	4:3 penalties ✺
15.10.25	Buffalo Sabres - Ottawa Senators	8:4 ✺
13.10.25	Ottawa Senators - Nashville Predators	1:4 ✺
11.10.25	Florida Panthers - Ottawa Senators	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Edmonton Oilers
NHL
19.10.25	Detroit Red Wings - Edmonton Oilers	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	New Jersey Devils - Edmonton Oilers	5:3 ✺
16.10.25	New York Islanders - Edmonton Oilers	4:2 ✺
14.10.25	New York Rangers - Edmonton Oilers	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Edmonton Oilers - Vancouver Canucks	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
22.12.24	Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators	3:1
19.11.24	Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers	2:5
24.03.24	Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers	5:3
06.01.24	Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators	3:1
14.03.23	Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators	6:3
11.02.23	Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers	3:6
31.01.22	Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers	3:2 OT

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