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Current Win Probability
Ottawa Senators 42.7%
Draw 23.2%
New York Islanders 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
22.1%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
23%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ottawa Senators's form might have worsened.
New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York Islanders's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ottawa Senators, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Islanders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
44.4%
22.2%
Ottawa Senators - New York Islanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). NY Islanders will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
47. Reimer J. (G)
30. Sorokin I. (G)
2. Zub A.
6. Pulock R. (A)
72. Chabot T. (A)
48. Schaefer M.
28. Giroux C. (A)
13. Barzal M.
18. Stutzle T.
14. Horvat B. (A)
19. Batherson D.
51. Heineman E.
Line 2
10. Spence J.
77. DeAngelo A.
43. Kleven T.
3. Pelech A.
71. Greig R.
92. Holmstrom S.
24. Cozens D.
10. Schenn B.
7. Tkachuk B. (C)
11. Duclair A.
Line 3
33. Matinpalo N.
24. Mayfield S.
6. Gilbert D.
4. Soucy C.
22. Amadio M.
64. Ritchie C.
12. Pinto S.
44. Pageau J.
21. Cousins N.
27. Lee A. (C)
Line 4
20. Zetterlund F.
32. Maclean K.
89. Eller L.
53. Cizikas C.
37. Foegele W.
81. Palat O.
Substitutes
35. Ullmark L. (G)
33. Rittich D. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.
. Roy P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
00:01, Tkachuk B. (5 min),
00:01, Lee A. (5 min),
05:54, Schenn B. (5 min),
05:54, Greig R. (5 min),
06:32, Cozens D. (2 min),
18:11, Soucy C. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:55, Cousins N. (2 min),
04:45, 0 - 1, Schaefer M. (G), Pulock R. (A), Horvat B. (A2)
08:50, Zub A. (2 min),
10:27, 1 - 1, Pinto S. (G), Kleven T. (A), Matinpalo N. (A2)
11:13, Horvat B. (2 min),
17:06, Eller L. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:02, 1 - 2, Schenn B. (G), Holmstrom S. (A), Mayfield S. (A2)
05:12, 2 - 2, Foegele W. (G), Zetterlund F. (A), Gilbert D. (A2)
19:48, 3 - 2, Tkachuk B. (G), Spence J. (A), Batherson D. (A2)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.
Ottawa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
NY Islanders is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
NY Islanders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ottawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Ottawa: Jensen N.
(Knee Injury)
Sanderson J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Palmieri K.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Shabanov M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 49:73. (average 2.5:3.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:43. (average 2.6:3.9).
Outrights of NHL for now
Ottawa Senators: 2.53% New York Islanders: 0.59%
Last Results with these Odds
Ottawa Senators - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.49%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
New York Islanders - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 27.45%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
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Reimer J. (G) 
Sorokin I. (G) 
Stutzle T. 
Heineman E. 
DeAngelo A. 
Matinpalo N. 
Eller L. 
Palat O. 
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