The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Islanders 28.4%
Draw 22.3%
Tampa Bay Lightning 49.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.9%
22.6%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
23.2%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Islanders's form might have worsened.
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Lightning's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Islanders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Lightning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Sorokin I. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
48. Schaefer M. (A)
74. Carlson J.
8. Stanley L.
90. Moser J.J.
21. Palmieri K. (A)
86. Kucherov N. (A)
14. Horvat B. (C)
21. Point B.
51. Heineman E.
93. Goncalves G.
Line 2
6. Pulock R.
81. Cernak E.
3. Pelech A.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
73. Eklund V.
59. Guentzel J.
64. Ritchie C.
71. Cirelli A.
10. Schenn B.
38. Hagel B.
Line 3
24. Mayfield S.
24. Crozier M.
77. DeAngelo A.
51. D'Astous C.
11. Duclair A.
29. Holmberg P.
44. Pageau J.
28. Girgensons Z.
92. Holmstrom S.
95. Mikheyev I.
Line 4
63. Maccelli M.
77. Hedman V. (C)
53. Cizikas C.
94. Geekie C.
81. Palat O.
25. Truchon-Viel J.
Substitutes
40. Varlamov S. (G)
35. Hildeby D. (G)
Coaches
. DeBoer P.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
05:45, 0 - 1, Guentzel J. (G),
15:42, 0 - 2, Hagel B. (G), Hedman V. (A), Crozier M. (A2)
17:45, Pulock R. (2 min),
19:51, Pelech A. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
06:27, 1 - 2, DeAngelo A. (G), Palat O. (A),
06:45, Heineman E. (2 min),
07:54, 1 - 3, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
08:29, Holmberg P. (2 min),
10:44, Stanley L. (5 min),
10:44, Sabourin S. (5 min),
11:41, 2 - 3, Schaefer M. (G), DeAngelo A. (A), Palat O. (A2)
12:43, Eklund V. (2 min),
18:12, D'Astous C. (2 min),
19:53, 3 - 3, Schenn B. (G), Horvat B. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
18:25, 3 - 4, Hagel B. (G), Crozier M. (A), McDonagh R. (A2)
18:37, 3 - 5, Hagel B. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
In recent outings, NY Islanders has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tampa Bay is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tampa Bay holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for NY Islanders: Barzal M.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Tampa Bay: Gourde Y.
(Hip Injury)
James D.
(Broken Hand)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for NY Islanders: Horvat B.
(Upper-Body Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, NY Islanders has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:65 (averaging 2.3:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for NY Islanders against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 32:30 goals (averaging 2.9:2.7 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.97% New York Islanders: 0.56%
Last Results with these Odds
New York Islanders - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.86%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.54%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.
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Sorokin I. (G) 
Schaefer M. (A) 
Carlson J. 
Moser J.J. 
Heineman E. 
Cernak E. 
Girgensons Z. 
Maccelli M. 
Palat O. 
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