The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Islanders 35.5%
Draw 22.2%
Tampa Bay Lightning 42.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
22.9%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
22.2%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
55.6%
0%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York Islanders will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Sorokin I. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
48. Schaefer M.
43. Raddysh D.
6. Pulock R. (A)
90. Moser J.J.
51. Heineman E.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
13. Barzal M.
71. Cirelli A.
29. Drouin J.
38. Hagel B. (A)
Line 2
77. DeAngelo A.
78. Lilleberg E.
3. Pelech A.
51. D'Astous C.
49. Shabanov M.
22. Pelletier J.
44. Pageau J.
21. Point B.
27. Lee A. (C)
59. Guentzel J. (A)
Line 3
24. Mayfield S.
24. Crozier M.
38. Mitchell T.
67. Carlile D.
10. Holmstrom S.
28. Girgensons Z.
64. Ritchie C.
37. Gourde Y.
11. Duclair A.
29. Holmberg P.
Line 4
16. Gatcomb M.
46. Sabourin S.
53. Cizikas C.
20. Paul N.
32. Maclean K.
42. Douglas C.
Substitutes
33. Rittich D. (G)
33. Halverson B. (G)
Coaches
. Roy P.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
01:12, Point B. (2 min),
01:45, Shabanov M. (2 min),
02:11, D'Astous C. (2 min),
03:05, 1 - 0, Schaefer M. (G), Duclair A. (A), Barzal M. (A2)
10:16, 2 - 0, Ritchie C. (G), Duclair A. (A),
20:00, Hagel B. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:22, (2 min),
08:17, Mitchell T. (2 min),
09:20, Cizikas C. (2 min),
10:13, 2 - 1, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
13:44, Johansson J. ↓, Halverson B. ↑,
13:50, Holmstrom S. (2 min),
13:50, Halverson B. ↓, Johansson J. ↑,
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:20, 2 - 2, Moser J.J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Point B. (A2)
05:01, D'Astous C. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Guentzel J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Barzal M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Point B. (Penalty Shot),
2, Holmstrom S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kucherov N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Heineman E. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
NY Islanders is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tampa Bay has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in NY Islanders: Bear E.
(Injury)
Drouin J.
(Back Injury)
Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Horvat B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Palmieri K.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E.
(Injury)
Hedman V.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: James D.
(Injury)
Vasilevski A.
(Injury)
We predict that NY Islanders will win today's game, with odds of 2.73.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 44:67. (average 2.2:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 2.9:2.8).
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Sorokin I. (G) 
Johansson J. (G) 
Schaefer M. 
Moser J.J. 
DeAngelo A. 
Lilleberg E. 
Girgensons Z. 
Rittich D. (G) 
