The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saginaw Spirit 43%
Draw 20.3%
Guelph Storm 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
18.7%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
20.9%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saginaw Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saginaw Spirit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-5%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Papineau K. (G)
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
. Ackerman T.
17. Babin P.
14. Barabanov E. (A)
13. Beauchesne Q. (A)
72. Barnes B.
89. Belohorsky S.
42. Cloutier J.
3. Frossard E.
95. Geldart G.
73. Gallacher L.
88. Hanrahan R.
75. Haponenko M.
13. Harmer C. (A)
91. Hopkins T. (A)
4. Harper L.
19. Jenken N.
9. Jones G.
93. McFadden W.
98. Klepov N.
72. McKenzie H.
8. Najim B.
15. Miedema E.
62. Pepoy B.
22. Pape M.
11. Roscoe D.
20. Serlin L.
90. Schmidt S.
81. Shybinskyi I.
23. Sienko K.
9. Snelgrove P.
27. Stewart B.
21. Spada G.
21. Storch L.
96. Stevens C.
17. Velliaris X.
77. Wycisk J.
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
Substitutes
63. Shurygin S. (G)
55. Ellsworth C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
05:40, 0 - 1, Belohorsky S. (G), Gallacher L. (A), Frossard E. (A2)
06:35, 1 - 1, Zhilkin D. (G), Geldart G. (A), Harper L. (A2)
06:58, 1 - 2, Hopkins T. (G), Shybinskyi I. (A), Wycisk J. (A2)
12:37, 2 - 2, Klepov N. (G), Harmer C. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 2)
02:07, 3 - 2, Cloutier J. (G), Klepov N. (A), Barabanov E. (A2)
03:23, 3 - 3, Beauchesne Q. (G), Hopkins T. (A), Shybinskyi I. (A2)
05:55, 4 - 3, Barabanov E. (G), Zhilkin D. (A), Klepov N. (A2)
09:19, 4 - 4, McKenzie H. (G),
13:13, 5 - 4, Zhilkin D. (G), Pepoy B. (A), Jones G. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 4)
00:39, 5 - 5, Hopkins T. (G), Shybinskyi I. (A), Beauchesne Q. (A2)
02:55, 5 - 6, Hopkins T. (G), Wycisk J. (A), Miedema E. (A2)
18:09, 5 - 7, Jenken N. (G), Ellsworth C. (A),
19:32, 5 - 8, Hopkins T. (G), Snelgrove P. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Saginaw may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 87:79. (average 4.4:4).
Including home matches between the teams, Saginaw won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:41. (average 4.7:4.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Saginaw Spirit - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.94%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Guelph Storm - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.34%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Papineau K. (G) 
Barabanov E. (A) 
Belohorsky S. 
Haponenko M. 
Shurygin S. (G) 
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