The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saginaw Spirit 27.6%
Draw 19.8%
Guelph Storm 52.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.8%
20.3%
52.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
22%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saginaw Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Guelph Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 8th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 0.
Saginaw has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Guelph shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Guelph could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Guelph is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Guelph in today's match, at odds of 1.73.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saginaw has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 89:82 (averaging 4.5:4.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saginaw against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 47:49 goals (averaging 4.7:4.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Saginaw Spirit - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 26.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Guelph Storm - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.89%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.