The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guelph Storm 58.3%
Draw 19.2%
Kitchener Rangers 22.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.4%
19.2%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
21.3%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guelph Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Kitchener Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Guelph Storm - Kitchener Rangers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
39. Schaubel J. (G)
86. Avery J.
9. Anstis A.
17. Babin P.
11. Arquette C.
15. Bartovic A.
89. Bilecki A. (A)
8. Carscadden A.
17. Cameron W.
22. Czata E. (A)
13. Ellis H.
29. Dravecky V.
91. Forrest A.
3. Frossard E.
55. Kut T.
10. Griffin O.
93. LaBrash J.
5. Hirst B.
37. Lam T. (A)
91. Hopkins T.
14. Lukes J.
14. Jenken N.
15. Massimi L.
28. Kucher C.
98. Puglisi C.
25. Roobroeck R.
44. Roberson R.
81. Shybinskyi I.
77. Robinson I.
21. Spada G. (A)
86. Romano L. (A)
96. Stevens C.
23. Santala L.
12. Topp R. (C)
21. Schneider K.
77. Wycisk J.
2. Toporowski D.
Substitutes
62. Hrebik B. (G)
30. Hriczov M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
01:49, 1 - 0, Bartovic A. (G), Griffin O. (A), Dravecky V. (A2)
06:16, 1 - 1, Puglisi C. (G), Anstis A. (A), Toporowski D. (A2)
13:18, 2 - 1, Roobroeck R. (G), Griffin O. (A), Hopkins T. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
03:15, 3 - 1, Wycisk J. (G), Dravecky V. (A),
03:24, 4 - 1, Roobroeck R. (G),
05:55, 4 - 2, Romano L. (G),
19:33, 4 - 3, Lam T. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:57, 5 - 3, Avery J. (G), Bartovic A. (A), Shybinskyi I. (A2)
11:41, 5 - 4, Bilecki A. (G), Lam T. (A), Romano L. (A2)
18:51, 5 - 5, Lam T. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:39, 6 - 5, Roobroeck R. (G),
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 5th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 1.
Guelph is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Kitchener have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Guelph for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guelph has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:75 (averaging 2.8:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guelph against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 32:30 goals (averaging 3.2:3 per game).
Watch
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Jovanovski Z. (G) 
Anstis A. 
Bartovic A. 
Shybinskyi I. 
Santala L. 
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