Match Info

OHL

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Sleeman Centre (Guelph, ON)


	Guelph Storm		Kitchener Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.60	4.01
	1.79	4.43	3.32	Watch
	1.63	4.55	3.95
	1.58	4.30	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.42)	4.47 ↑ (4.3)	3.81 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guelph Storm
55.3%

Draw
20.6%

Kitchener Rangers
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

21.7%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

23.3%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guelph Storm's performance.

Kitchener Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kitchener Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guelph Storm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kitchener Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guelph Storm - Kitchener Rangers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guelph (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)	39. Schaubel J. (G)
86. Avery J.	9. Anstis A.
17. Babin P.	11. Arquette C. (A)
15. Bartovic A.	89. Bilecki A. (A)
8. Carscadden A.	17. Cameron W.
22. Czata E. (A)	13. Ellis H.
29. Dravecky V.	91. Forrest A.
3. Frossard E.	29. Gombar J.
10. Griffin O.	93. LaBrash J.
91. Hopkins T.	37. Lam T.
14. Jenken N.	43. MacNiel A. (C)
19. Kazda T.	15. Massimi L.
25. Roobroeck R.	98. Puglisi C.
81. Shybinskyi I.	44. Roberson R.
9. Snelgrove P.	77. Robinson I.
21. Spada G. (A)	86. Romano L. (A)
96. Stevens C.	23. Santala L.
12. Topp R. (C)	21. Schneider K.
77. Wycisk J.	2. Toporowski D.
Substitutes
62. Hrebik B. (G)	30. Hriczov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
04:38, 1 - 0, Avery J. (G), Czata E. (A), Dravecky V. (A2)
10:04, 2 - 0, Hopkins T. (G), Wycisk J. (A),
16:36, 3 - 0, Roobroeck R. (G),
17:23, 4 - 0, Stevens C. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
08:17, 5 - 0, Frossard E. (G),
12:35, 6 - 0, Dravecky V. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 0.

In recent outings, Guelph has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kitchener is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Kitchener may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Guelph holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guelph has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:77 (averaging 2.5:3.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guelph against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 27:35 goals (averaging 2.7:3.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Guelph Storm - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.57%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Kitchener Rangers - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.72%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guelph Storm
OHL
02.10.26	Guelph Storm - Windsor Spitfires	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Owen Sound Attack - Guelph Storm	1:5 ✺
25.09.26	Guelph Storm - Oshawa Generals	6:0 ✺
19.09.26	Brantford Bulldogs - Guelph Storm	6:0 ✺
18.09.26	Guelph Storm - Erie Otters	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLL
- Kitchener Rangers
OHL
02.10.26	Kitchener Rangers - Saginaw Spirit	4:3 AET ✺
27.09.26	Kitchener Rangers - Kingston Frontenacs	6:3 ✺
26.09.26	Erie Otters - Kitchener Rangers	3:4 OT ✺
25.09.26	Kitchener Rangers - Erie Otters	3:4 ✺
19.09.26	Owen Sound Attack - Kitchener Rangers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
15.03.26	Guelph Storm - Kitchener Rangers	1:4
25.02.26	Guelph Storm - Kitchener Rangers	4:5
06.02.26	Kitchener Rangers - Guelph Storm	6:2
18.01.26	Kitchener Rangers - Guelph Storm	4:3
07.12.25	Guelph Storm - Kitchener Rangers	4:5
18.11.25	Kitchener Rangers - Guelph Storm	3:1
15.11.25	Guelph Storm - Kitchener Rangers	3:2

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