The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pardubice 59.4%
Draw 20.2%
HC Plzeň 1929 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.8%
18.8%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
19.5%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
HC Plzeň 1929 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Plzeň 1929 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Pardubice - HC Plzeň 1929 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Subban M. (G)
31. Malik N. (G)
33. Kostalek J.
2. MacPherson D.
79. Tourigny M.
94. Rubins K.
89. Mandat J.
17. Rohlik O.
23. Sedlak L. (C)
12. Lalancette C. (A)
19. Cervenka R. (A)
22. Mechura A.
Line 2
41. Ceresnak P. (A)
13. Merezhko I.
7. Dvorak T.
27. Robertson C.
93. Stransky M.
18. Strnad L.
98. Tomasek D.
42. Filip M. (A)
96. Smejkal J.
92. Teply M.
Line 3
43. Gazda D.
3. Chromiak J.
4. Miklis O.
5. Jerabek J. (C)
55. Vondracek T.
63. Petman M.
92. Nosek T.
23. Petman V.
29. Kelemen M.
49. Simon D.
Line 4
34. Chabada O.
8. Malak D.
44. Poulicek P.
84. Schleiss J.
71. Sobotka V.
30. Lev J.
12. Valek M.
44. Zemlicka R.
Substitutes
22. Kaplan R.
11. Katic D.
35. Will R. (G)
33. Ruzicka J. (G)
Coaches
. Pesan F.
. Veber J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
08:07, Smejkal J. (2 min),
09:16, MacPherson D. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
04:17, 0 - 1, Mechura A. (G), Lalancette C. (A), Rohlik O. (A2)
10:28, 1 - 1, Kelemen M. (G), Nosek T. (A), Miklis O. (A2)
13:15, Jerabek J. (2 min),
13:45, 2 - 1, Stransky M. (G), Sedlak L. (A), Cervenka R. (A2)
16:40, Lalancette C. (2 min),
17:41, 3 - 1, Cervenka R. (G), Sedlak L. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:24, 3 - 2, Simon D. (G), Filip M. (A), Robertson C. (A2)
10:16, Sedlak L. (2 min),
17:28, 4 - 2, Cervenka R. (G), Mandat J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 1.
Pardubice is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Plzeň have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Plzeň has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Pardubice is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Pardubice: Kaut M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lauko J.
(Knee Injury)
Ludvig J.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Plzeň: Soukup M.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Pardubice: Kondelik J.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Plzeň: Sedlacek I.
(Back Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pardubice has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:38 (averaging 3.1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pardubice against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 35:19 goals (averaging 3.5:1.9 per game).
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Pardubice: 38.32% Plzen: 3.89%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Pardubice
10
8
0
0
2
42:27
24
5
Plzen
9
3
2
1
3
23:21
14
Last Results with these Odds
Pardubice - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.78%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.