Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Pelicans U20		TPS U20

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.5	3.25
	1.7	4.2	3.16
	1.71	4.65	3.48	Watch
	1.7	4.2	3.4
	1.84	4.05	3.25
	1.64	4.75	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.63)	4.39 ↑ (4.32)	3.31 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelicans U20
52.6%

Draw
20.4%

TPS U20
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

21.3%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

21.1%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelicans U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

TPS U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans U20 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (-5%)

Pelicans U20 - TPS U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
18:06, 0 - 1, Keinanen K. (G), Paganus T. (A), Kallio W. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:31, 0 - 2, Fugleberg P. (G), Rantala O. (A),
13:22, 1 - 2, Saharinen S. (G), Pohjalainen A. (A),
14:18, 1 - 3, Kallio W. (G), Vilhunen P. (A),
16:21, 2 - 3, Kokko A. (G), Alalauri S. (A), Huzevka S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:37, 2 - 4, Rantala O. (G), Paganus T. (A), Uusikartano A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans U20 won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

TPS U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pelicans U20 is considered a favorite.

We predict that Pelicans U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 70:61. (average 3.5:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:26. (average 4.3:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelicans U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
19.12.25	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	2:3 ✺
12.12.25	Ilves U20 - Pelicans U20	4:3 OT ✺
04.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Pelicans U20	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Pelicans U20 - RoKi U20	4:3 ✺
28.11.25	Pelicans U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWW
- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
19.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - TPS U20	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	TPS U20 - Lukko U20	4:5 OT ✺
12.12.25	TPS U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	1:2 penalties ✺
04.12.25	TPS U20 - HIFK U20	3:1 ✺
03.12.25	HIFK U20 - TPS U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
11.10.25	TPS U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 penalties
25.03.25	Pelicans U20 - TPS U20	7:3
23.03.25	TPS U20 - Pelicans U20	1:2
22.03.25	Pelicans U20 - TPS U20	6:2
20.03.25	TPS U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2
18.03.25	Pelicans U20 - TPS U20	2:3 penalties
21.02.25	TPS U20 - Pelicans U20	3:4

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