Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Lukko U20		Pelicans U20

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.5	1.62
	3.47	4.08	1.81	Watch
	3.3	4	1.75
	3.45	4.05	1.78
	3.3	4.3	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.48)	4.19 ↑ (4.04)	1.73 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko U20
26.8%

Draw
21.4%

Pelicans U20
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

22.8%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

24.7%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Pelicans U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans U20 than the current prediction. (-5%)

Lukko U20 - Pelicans U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:46, 0 - 1, Kolehmainen E. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:25, 0 - 2, Saharinen S. (G), Paqvalin A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:36, 0 - 3, Arkko L. (G), Honkanen J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 2.

Lukko U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pelicans U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pelicans U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pelicans U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 51:60. (average 2.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:41. (average 2.6:3.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Lukko U20	11	7	1	0	3	35:25	23
6	Pelicans Lahti U20	10	7	0	0	3	37:26	21

Last Results with these Odds

Pelicans U20 - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.81%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
10.01.26	Lukko U20 - TPS U20	3:4 ✺
09.01.26	Jokerit U20 - Lukko U20	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Lukko U20 - Tappara U20	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	HIFK U20 - Lukko U20	2:5 ✺
19.12.25	Lukko U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLLWW
- Pelicans U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
10.01.26	Jokerit U20 - Pelicans U20	0:7 ✺
08.01.26	Pelicans U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Pelicans U20 - KooKoo U20	5:2 ✺
03.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Pelicans U20	1:2 OT ✺
20.12.25	Pelicans U20 - TPS U20	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.09.25	Pelicans U20 - Lukko U20	2:1
01.02.25	Lukko U20 - Pelicans U20	5:4
13.12.24	Pelicans U20 - Lukko U20	2:3
08.03.24	Lukko U20 - Pelicans U20	0:2
27.01.24	Lukko U20 - Pelicans U20	2:8
24.11.23	Pelicans U20 - Lukko U20	3:4
27.01.23	Pelicans U20 - Lukko U20	1:4

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