Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	TPS U20		HPK U20

	1	X	2
	2.55	4.2	1.9
	2.55	4.03	2.15
	2.6	4.26	2.14	Watch
	2.5	3.95	2.1
	2.6	3.98	2.16
	2.55	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.7)	4.07 ↓ (4.1)	2.09 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS U20
35.1%

Draw
22%

HPK U20
42.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

22.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

22.6%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

HPK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

TPS U20 - HPK U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 1.

TPS U20 has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by HPK U20 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for TPS U20 in today's match, at odds of 2.63.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, TPS U20 has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:56 (averaging 3.2:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for TPS U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 43:17 goals (averaging 4.8:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Hameenlinna U20	14	8	0	3	3	56:36	27
8	TPS U20	16	7	1	4	4	48:49	27

Last Results with these Odds

TPS U20 - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.03%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

HPK U20 - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.55%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.10.26	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	1:2 ✺
23.10.26	TPS U20 - HIFK U20	5:3 ✺
17.10.26	TPS U20 - KooKoo U20	7:2 ✺
10.10.26	TPS U20 - RoKi U20	7:3 ✺
07.10.26	TPS U20 - Tappara U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWW
- HPK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
23.10.26	Ilves U20 - HPK U20	2:4 ✺
21.10.26	HPK U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	4:8 ✺
17.10.26	HPK U20 - Lukko U20	2:3 AET ✺
10.10.26	HPK U20 - Kärpät U20	1:3 ✺
07.10.26	HPK U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
05.09.26	HPK U20 - TPS U20	6:1
12.03.26	TPS U20 - HPK U20	3:4
11.03.26	HPK U20 - TPS U20	4:2
21.11.25	HPK U20 - TPS U20	6:2
04.09.25	TPS U20 - HPK U20	4:1
08.03.25	TPS U20 - HPK U20	5:1
08.12.24	HPK U20 - TPS U20	1:2

TPS U20 - HPK U20