Match Info

FINLAND: MESTIS

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday


	Peliitat Heinola		Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat

	1	X	2
	7.5	6.5	1.22
	6.25	6	1.28
	7.5	6.1	1.28
	5.32	5.96	1.27
	6.5	6	1.3
	7.6	6.65	1.25
	7.2	5.6	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.84 ↑ (5.56)	6.12 ↑ (4.72)	1.27 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peliitat Heinola
13.3%

Draw
14.9%

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

18.5%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

17.4%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peliitat Heinola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peliitat Heinola than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Peliitat Heinola - Joensuun Kiekko Pojat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5

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Preview

Peliitat Heinola is Mestis (Relegation)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peliitat Heinola won 1.

Peliitat Heinola has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches JoKP is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match JoKP is absolute favorite.

Last 45 head-to-head matches Peliitat Heinola won 14 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 30 matches and goals 106-153.

Including matches at home between the teams Peliitat Heinola won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 49-75.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peliitat Heinola
Finnish Mestis
11.03.23	Peliitat Heinola - TuTo	0:4 ✺
08.03.23	Koovee - Peliitat Heinola	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Kiekko-Vantaa - Peliitat Heinola	7:3 ✺
03.03.23	Peliitat Heinola - KeuPa	1:7 ✺
24.02.23	Peliitat Heinola - Kiekko-Vantaa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
Finnish Mestis
11.03.23	Imatran Ketterä - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	7:4 ✺
10.03.23	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Koovee	3:4 OT ✺
04.03.23	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Forssan Palloseura	4:3 ✺
03.03.23	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - TuTo	6:5 ✺
25.02.23	Hermes Kokkola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
23.11.22	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Peliitat Heinola	3:4 penalties
05.11.22	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Peliitat Heinola	3:2
21.10.22	Peliitat Heinola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	2:4
Finnish Cup Hockey
02.09.22	Peliitat Heinola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	1:5
Finnish Mestis
24.03.22	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Peliitat Heinola	7:1
20.03.22	Peliitat Heinola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	1:4
11.12.21	Peliitat Heinola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:2 penalties

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