The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat 33.4%
Draw 21.8%
TuTo 44.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.1%
22.2%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
23.3%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat's form might have worsened.
TuTo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting TuTo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TuTo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Joensuun Kiekko Pojat - TuTo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
23. Kohonen P. (G)
31. Helomaa J. (G)
73. Tuhkanen O.
46. Kiukas P.
55. Koskela V.
62. Kulmala F.
11. Taskula J.
15. Markkula S. (C)
20. Kokkola T. (A)
11. Valila E.
17. Karjalainen H. (A)
22. Karnaranta V.
Line 2
3. Liiri N.
48. Happonen E.
72. Lehmus J.
5. Rikkila H.
5. Sihvonen R.
94. Nordgren N.
97. Janhonen J.
71. Turunen R. (A)
29. Lohisalo J.
21. Juhola J.
Line 3
77. Fisk J.
3. Vuorinen V.
6. Korkka O.
44. Vuori T.
40. Suni O.
90. Turppa T.
51. Koskenkorva J. (C)
34. Hameenaho V.
82. Hult O.
19. Korhonen J. (A)
Line 4
56. Haikonen A.
28. Valila E.
28. Suvanto N.
25. Lindholm L.
19. Brygger J.
14. Lindholm V.
Substitutes
60. Kuikka J.
37. Raikka E. (G)
32. Rossi J. (G)
51. Rannikko O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
01:27, 0 - 1, Turunen R. (G), Happonen E. (A), Juhola J. (A2)
04:07, 1 - 1, Hult O. (G), Suni O. (A), Sihvonen R. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:03, 2 - 1, Lohisalo J. (G), Karjalainen H. (A), Liiri N. (A2)
05:04, 3 - 1, Haikonen A. (G), Kuikka J. (A), Suvanto N. (A2)
19:40, 3 - 2, Rannikko O. (G), Turunen R. (A), Valila E. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
03:33, 3 - 3, Markkula S. (G), Valila E. (A),
12:27, 4 - 3, Janhonen J. (G), Tuhkanen O. (A),
16:27, 4 - 4, Valila E. (G), Markkula S. (A), Turppa T. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:26, 4 - 5, Rikkila H. (G), Nordgren N. (A), Turunen R. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JoKP won 3.
JoKP has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
TuTo is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
TuTo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, TuTo has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, JoKP has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:55 (averaging 3.2:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for JoKP against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 40:27 goals (averaging 3.6:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Kiekko-Pojat
14
5
1
2
6
42:46
19
Last Results with these Odds
TuTo - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.67%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Finland
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Kohonen P. (G) 
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