Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Penn State Nittany Lions		Ohio State Buckeyes

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.35	4.15
	1.56	4.65	4.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	4.5 (4.5)	4.15 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penn State Nittany Lions
57.8%

Draw
20.2%

Ohio State Buckeyes
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

20.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

19.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penn State Nittany Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ohio State Buckeyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ohio State Buckeyes than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penn State won 4.

Recent form of Penn State has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Ohio State has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Penn State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Penn State is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Penn State won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 57:43. (average 3.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Penn State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 4.7:3.3).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Penn State Nittany Lions: 2.15% Ohio State Buckeyes: 0.92%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penn State Nittany Lions hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes	11:4 ✺
14.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	6:3 ✺
13.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	5:4 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	4:5 OT ✺
30.01.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- Ohio State Buckeyes hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes	11:4 ✺
14.02.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Wisconsin Badgers	3:2 ✺
13.02.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Wisconsin Badgers	2:4 ✺
07.02.26	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Ohio State Buckeyes	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Ohio State Buckeyes	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes	11:4
31.10.25	Ohio State Buckeyes - Penn State Nittany Lions	3:4
30.10.25	Ohio State Buckeyes - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:3
25.01.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes	3:2 OT
24.01.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes	6:6 OT
06.12.24	Ohio State Buckeyes - Penn State Nittany Lions	4:2
02.03.24	Ohio State Buckeyes - Penn State Nittany Lions	1:2

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